Connect with us

Cincinnati Reds

Back to The Reds Future

The Cincinnati Reds are ready to compete now and for the foreseeable future because of Dick Williams getting guys like Yasiel Puig without giving up the farm.

Dave Pemberton

Published

on

Outside of maybe the Phillies, I cannot think of a more talked about NL team than the Reds right now. The Reds front office have taken what looked like a failed rebuild and turned it into a possible contender for 2019. It will more than likely result in the best team we’ve seen since 2013. Many seemed to have hopped back onto the Redleg bandwagon before the season has started because of the excitement surrounding Yasiel Puig. Lots of people also seem to believe the team will be able to compete because for the first time in past five years they have what looks like on paper a serviceable starting rotation. That, combined with a formidable lineup, makes this team worth watching.

However there are still many doubters. They will tell you this is just a one year science experiment. That the experiment will ultimately fail. Then in the following 2020 season we will return to our 90 loss seasons with no signs of a promising future. I am here to tell you that is not going to happen.

The reasons why this team will remain competitive for the next several years are threefold: 1.) plenty of payroll space to extend and sign free agents, 2.) a loaded farm system, 3.) a front office that wants to win as soon as possible.

1) Plenty of Payroll Space to Extend Contracts and Sign Free Agents According to BaseballReference.com the 2020 Reds currently only have $57.9 million in guaranteed contracts. Granted, that number will ultimately end up being higher because of players with arbitration cases, however, this gives the Reds tremendous financial flexibility. They could probably offer reasonable extensions to Scooter Gennett, Puig, Alex Wood, Tanner Roark, and David Hernandez. By no means am I saying they should offer extensions to all of them. They could easily pick up the club option for $3 million on Jared Hughes. Even with those possible contract extensions they could be more aggressive in this off seasons free agency market. Rumor has it they are willing to get up into the $130’s for the total payroll.

2) Loaded Farm System According to MLB Pipeline the Reds have the 9th best farm system. What’s more important is that MLB Pipeline has 12 of their top 30 prospects arriving in the 2020 season. The Reds had Senzel, Trammell, Greene, and India all in the top 100 MLB prospects. This does not include other players such as Mahle, Tyler Stephenson, Siri, and Santillan who could be making an under the radar impact next season. This also gives the Reds more trade bait if they decide to go after a big fish in the short term.

3) The Front Office wants to Win Now If I told you at the end of the 2018 season the Reds would be a competitive and exciting next season you would have laughed in my face. Enter Dick Williams and Nick Krall. Or as I like to think of them as Brad Pitt and Jonah Hill in Moneyball. They executed perfectly in exploiting a huge flaw in baseball economics this season. Teams wanting to dump payroll to avoid the luxury tax while making room for huge free agency signings. Perhaps the most incredible part was that they were able to trade their way to a competitive team without giving away there top 5 prospects. When I got news of many of these trades I had to do a double take. Thinking there is no way we acquired this talent without giving up our top talent. However they were able to acquire Roark, Puig, Wood, Matt Kemp, and Sonny Gray without really giving up much at all. All of those players, except for Gray, are in a contract year. I am a firm believer that contract years more often than not result in career years for many players. Not to mention the free agent signings of Dietrich and Iglesias to minor league contracts. And the best part of it all: they were able to dump the biggest waste of a contract in Homer Bailey. Heaven forbid, this experiment does fail, when the trade deadline arrives, I am confident that the front office will move these players while getting decent returns for the 2020 season. If Williams and Krall were able to make that happen with what seemed like a hopeless future I am confident that they know better than any of us how to make this team a World Series champion again.

I am confident in the decision-making of our front office to provide us with an aggressiveness that shows they are ready to win over the next several seasons. The rebuild is over. Losing in the name of player development is no longer acceptable. This organization wants to win a World Series in the foreseeable future. I was 3 years old when the Reds won there last World Series in 1990. I now have a 3 year old son of my own. I hope he doesn’t have to wait much longer.

I grew up engulfed in baseball. My grandfather had season tickets for the Reds from 1970 until 2002. I was raised in a neighborhood that was essentially the Sandlot set in the 1990's but with even more kids. We played from the minute we woke up until it was too dark to see the ball. Then we'd spend the night at someones house playing baseball video games, talking about baseball cards, or watching it on television. I idolized Barry Larkin as fielder, hitter, and leader. I was fortunate enough to play baseball through high school. Now I am a registered nurse, married way out of my league, and have two amazing kids that will exceed anything I ever do in this life. I am fortunate enough to have a Reds season ticket package with my close friends and family. The Reds ballpark is my second home. Baseball has provided me with some of my most treasured memories shared over four generations.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Cincinnati Reds

Have Some Faith in The Rotation

The Cincinnati Reds are going to have eight bullpen arms on the everyday major league roster. Let’s make heads or tails of this.

Dave Pemberton

Published

on

© Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

For a large portion of the 2018 season the Cincinnati Reds carried eight relievers. While I absolutely hated it, I completely understood it. The Reds starting rotation was lucky to finish the sixth inning. Pitch counts often were creeping towards 100 pitches by the end of the fifth inning. The rotation itself, outside of Castillo and Harvey, seemed to be in constant flux due to injuries and poor performances.

On paper, the 2019 Cincinnnati Reds rotation appears to be about as middle of the road as you can get. Castillo, Sonny Gray, Tanner Roark, Disco, Alex Wood and now Tyler Mahle are all at least middle of the rotation guys . They will eat innings for your team if nothing else. I am expecting these guys to put up 6 innings nearly every appearance. Hopefully they will add plenty of quality starts, to boot. Why would you need eight relievers to back them up?

Madison Bumgarner said it best when referring to the idea of a bullpen opener, “If you’re using an opener in my game, I’m walking right out of the ballpark.” I think it’s an insult to starting pitchers for their goal to be complete 5 innings and hand the rest off to the bullpen. This leads me to believe there will be one bullpen pitcher that is extremely under utilized when he could be getting innings in the minors.

Meanwhile, the Reds are showing more roster depth on the bench than we have ever seen in the past 20 years. Rather than opting to have a fifth bench player, with a solid bat, you would rather use that position for an excessive amount of relievers. Matt Kemp, Scott Schebler, Jose Iglesias, Derek Dietrich, Phillip Ervin and Nick Senzel are all bats that could be getting significant playing time in the majors. All of which will have a significant impact on scoring runs and winning games for this team. It makes zero sense to me how you can justify using that roster spot for a player who will, maybe, pitch one or two innings a week at most. I think it also shows little faith in a rejuvenated rotation. While I don’t believe or expect this rotation to be as good as the 2012 Reds. I do expect them not to be warming up the bullpen in the fifth inning nearly every night.

Continue Reading

Cincinnati Reds

Opening Day: Cincinnati’s Holiday

Opening Day for the Cincinnati Reds means so much more to this city than, pretty much, any other day.

Dave Pemberton

Published

on

No one does Opening Day like Cincinnati.

As an adult Opening Day is the only day I get to act like a kid again. No matter how good or bad the team is going to be, Opening Day in Cincinnati is always treated the same by the fan base. The one day of every year everyone who lives in the city has there minds on one thing…Cincinnati Reds baseball.

This year in particular is marked with serious celebration. The Cincinnati Reds are celebrating their 150th season since their beginnings in 1869 playing at the Union Ground close to Union Terminal. The annual holiday is also marked by the biggest yearly parade the town has to offer in the Findlay Markey Parade. The parade itself is celebrating it’s 100th anniversary this season. For a kid this is one of the coolest things you can witness as a Reds fan. All kinds of local high schools, kids baseball teams, local celebrities, local charities, veterans, former and even current Reds players participate.

Thanks to the lovely development of the riverbank area we are now able to take place in the most exciting party of the year. The Reds Opening Day Block Party at the Banks is THE event for Reds fan. Which, if you’re a baseball fan, is a guarenteed blast. Even better, the party raises a huge amount of money for the Reds Community Fund. There you can find all your local favorite foods (Skyline, LaRosa’s) lining the Banks with the cheapest alcohol you can find all season that close to the stadium. Live music and plenty of giveaways are passed out among the crowd. If mingling in the streets isn’t your fancy there are plenty of overly crowded restaurants where you can hang out. Most of them provide an exciting atmosphere during the game just like any other packed Reds game.

I personally have many experiences with Opening Day. In 1992, Opening Day also happened to fall upon my younger brother Adam’s arrival to planet Earth. When I arrived at the hospital I had zero interest in the newest addition to our family. I was more concerned about getting home in time to watch Opening Day and the NCAA Finals. At one of the mid 90’s Opening Days I was interviewed by the local news. The interview made me feel like a celebrity at the time. In 1996 I was a infuriated when after just a few pitches the game was cancelled because the umpire keeled over and never got back up. As an adult I feel terrible about that moment because he died from cardiac arrest. In the moment all I cared about was Opening Day.

I remember in 2000 being there to witness Ken Griffey Jr. for the first time in a Reds uniform. The Reds got what seemed to be a dream come true in the best player in the MLB at the time. Junior was the guy whose video game you owned, cleats you bought, and swing you emulated. We were going to be able to see him every night instead of just the highlights on Sportscenter. The team seemed to be on it’s way to becoming a powerhouse of the NL Central for years to come with his addition. The game itself was lackluster. It’s the only recorded tie 3-3 in the teams Opening Day history. Ultimately the hype exceeded reality with Junior’s tenure in Cincinnati. However, when he walked out on the field that day you would have thought the rebirth of the Big Red Machine took place.

I was present for Aaron Boone’s sac fly scoring Larkin in 2002, Joe Randa’s walk off homer in 2005, and Ramon Hernandez’s walk off in 2011. I have awkwardly ran into teachers and ex girlfriends during this holiday. However, my all time favorite Opening Day moment took place last year.

Opening Day 2018 I was interviewed by the local news. My brother was kind enough to take several still shots of my interview. Before I had even seen the footage he was kind enough to post a picture so amazing I want it shown at my funeral. Whenever they interview you on the news it usually will say your name and a short description about you. My description originally read Dave Pemberton: Reds Fan. My brother’s edited version said Dave Pemberton: Local Fat Kid. All of my close friends and family thought it was the funniest thing they’d ever seen. I loved it so much I used it as my fantasy football name. I guess this is payback for not wanting to hang out at the hospital with him when he was born on Opening Day all those years ago.

I hope all of Reds Country is able to participate and attend Opening Day at some point in their lives. Even those fair-weathered fans who have attended Opening Day will probably tell you it’s a must if you live in Cincinnati. For this Local Fat Kid it will always the best holiday of the year.

Continue Reading

Cincinnati Reds

Scooter Situation

Losing Scooter Gennett for the chunk of time they are about to, puts the pressure on the Cincinnati Reds from the word go.

Dave Pemberton

Published

on

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Scooter Gennett went down Friday afternoon with a groin injury. It was announced Saturday afternoon that he would be returning after 8-12 weeks. At best that puts him back in the middle of May and at worst middle of June.

Scooter is a vital part of this team. In his two years with the Cincinnati Reds, Scooter’s career has seen a revival. Gennett’s career in Cincinnati has totaled him a .303 AVG, .351 OBP, 50 HR, and tied a team best with Suarez for highest WAR in 2018 with 4.2. He was almost able to win a batting title last season on his way to an All-Star season. We must not also forget this guy wants to remain a Red after the 2019 season when his contract’s up. All the signs point toward Scooter putting up more amazing totals this year for the Reds. Missing Scooter for 2-3 months will have a significant impact on the teams win total.

On the surface there were three real options to replace Gennett till his return. This is in the order of how I expected the Reds to make this decision.

  1. Move Senzel to 2B for Opening Day. Get Senzel at least two months of playing time at the position he may very well start Opening Day in 2020. When Scooter returns move him back to CF.
  2. Derek Dietrich being left handed would be the second best option. Dietrich also has similar numbers to Iglesias at the plate.
  3. Jose Iglesias has played little at 2B but is a better glove than Dietrich. Move Pereza to 2B and Iglesias to SS as a temporary fix till Senzel is called up.

Dick Williams and David Bell announced today that the last option was what they are going to implement. As a part of that though they also announced Senzel will continue to play CF in Louisville and the Reds will roster Kyle Farmer on the bench to start the season. This move seems to go against the entire direction of moves the team has made this offseason. That direction being we are ready to win NOW.

This move to me says they are playing the baseball economics over winning now. On the surface this move can be justified as gaining one more year of contract control over Senzel. Schebler for what it’s worth put up stellar numbers in Spring Training. On paper he would be the better choice to start CF.

However as I said before Senzel’s time is NOW. If the Reds front office is serious about winning now there’s no reason Senzel doesn’t start in Scooter’s absence. Nick Senzel is ranked the number 6 top prospect in all of baseball. Many believe he could win batting titles in the future. Senzel has shown he’s willing to play anywhere to get himself on the roster. He’s put up a .314 AVG and .390 OBP during his minor league career. I personally think once he is given the opportunity he’s going to be the frontrunner for the Rookie of The Year. I’m a big fan of history. History shows when the Reds tried doing this last year it backfired horrendously when Senzel ended up needing season ending surgery. Why wouldn’t you want that guy on your team as soon as possible?

I truly hope this is just us getting worked up over nothing. Leading to Senzel seeing serious playing time in just two weeks as the starting 2B. While in between Iglesias, Dietrich, and Farmer are able to start out the season on fire. Otherwise the front office needs to be more up front with there plans on Nick Senzel. Finally I probably shouldn’t complain about this at all. None of these options are bad at all. After all none of the players mentioned as replacements were named Gosselin, Pennington, Kivlehan, Alcantara, Dixon, or Herrera.

Continue Reading

Trending