The postseason awaits and, sadly, for another year, the Cincinnati Reds are not involved. I’m a sucker for some baseball, though, and continue to watch the playoffs regardless of the Reds involvement, but I enjoy having a team to root for. So let’s look at the field, in no particular order.
What’s not to love about the Brewers? They went for it this year and, while buying a championship isn’t feng shui, it is admirable that the team wanted to deliver some winning baseball to the fans. Unless you spent the season under a rock, you are aware of Christian Yelich. He’s the guy the Reds didn’t trade for who turned around and hit for the cycle…twice…against them. He’s probably going to be the National League MVP and he’s 26. They’re even built around hitting and relief pitching…kinda like your Cincinnati Reds, except they’ve had at least a little success from their rotation.
The Brewers have even come on strong enough, here lately, that they sit just a half game behind the Cubs for the NL Central division crown. They might just find themselves not having to worry about the one game playoff.
They’ve got UC grad Ian Happ and Thom Brennaman’s favorite player, Kyle Schwarber (also from Middletown) in the everyday lineup, so there’s some local flavor there. Plus they aren’t the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals
They win purely on offense. Their team ERA is only a smidge better than the Reds at 4.37 but they’ve scored 740 runs and have a team batting average of .255. They’ve also committed the least amount of errors (71), among the playoff hopefuls (the Nationals have the least at 63).
Their third baseman, Nolan Arenado, is one of the five best players in the game, today, and is a front runner for MVP. He’s batting .295 with 34 homers and 105 RBI and has a .374 on-base percentage. He, alone, is worth watching the Rockies.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Speaking of spending to win, last year’s runners-up have had a turbulent season. Despite their mammoth payroll they just took over first place in the NL West, but only have a half game lead on the Rockies.
Okay, let’s not pretend like Reds fans are flocking to root for the Dodgers…but they do have Floromania going for them. The former Red has a 1.63 ERA in 29 appearances for LA.
They’re back! After rebuilding for a few years, the former mainstays of the NL East have regained that role as the youngsters outlasted the Phillies, another solid young team, and the Nationals, the preseason favorites. They’re a fun team to watch as their core is very young. Freddie Freeman is accompanied by two of the most promising young stars in baseball, Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna, Jr. They will be fun to watch. They’re the only team who has clinched a playoff berth, in the NL, but they will most likely be the two seed as both the Cubs and Brewers have two games on them. Yeah, let that sink in for a sec, the winner of the Central will be the one seed with the runner up, having the second best record (most likely) in the NL, will be a wildcard team. The Reds have one tough division to rebuild in…
Boston Red Sox
I begin the AL with Brandon Phillips’ team…or at least for now. Not sure if he’ll make the postseason roster, which is what my rooting interests in the Sox will depend on, but for now he’s there. How cool would it be to see Dat Dude get a ring? Dude is the second best second baseman in the history of the Reds, but has not even sniffed the World Series. He may have a shot with Boston.
Of course, should he not make the postseason roster, my interests in Boston disappear.
New York Yankees
The Evil Empire is back to its imperial ways and hating the Yankees, once again, became cool in 2018. They have five games left to hit 10 home runs and break the single season record, so we’ll see if that happens. Other than that, my interest in the Yankees in the playoffs is purely based off of my love of a good villain, and that villain is back.
Terry Francona is one of the most likeable people in baseball and the MLB.com power rankings, for what they’re worth, have the Indians as the lowest ranked AL team. It’s hard to root for the in-state rival, but it’s also hard to root against the team that everyone is counting out. Most knock them for playing in the weakest division, but it’s not like that’s their fault. Their top three pitchers, as we Reds fans well know, will keep them in any series, and Jose Ramirez and Francisco Lindor are just plain fun to watch. They’ll, most likely, match up with the next team in the first series, so it’s be right into the fire from the get-go.
Everyone loves a repeat…or at least, that’s what network television believes. The poster team for successful, long rebuilds is, once again, in a position to get a ring. This time, they have the experience to go with the talent. Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve, and George Springer headline a 1-9 lineup of mashers and smashers while Justin Verlander and impending-free agent, Dallas Keuchel, headline a haul of heavy hurlers. But really, who want’s the same old thing, again? What is this, the NBA Playoffs?
Probably the most interesting team in these playoffs. Well, at least to me, they are. Without looking, name three Oakland players…can’t do it, can you? Ok, so you probably got Jed Lowrie and maybe, even Matt Chapman. But how about Chad Pinder? Khris Davis (spells it with a K so he doesn’t have to say the good Chris Davis)? Or did you know Stephen Piscotty, former Cardinal, is there? Or former Brewer Jonathan Lucroy? I’d wager no. No matter, they’ve hit the most homers in the AL outside of the Yankees and they’ve scored the third most runs, with 790. They also rank in the top six of AL teams in every pitching category, except strikeouts. They’ll probably be one and done in the wildcard game, but then again, you never know in October.
So there you have it. As for me, I’m pulling for a re-kindling of an old AL West rivalry in a Brewers/A’s World Series matchup with the Brew Crew hoisting the trophy. Doubt that will happen, but that’s who I’m rooting for. Reds in 2019!
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Cincinnati Reds Roster Breakdown: Non Roster Invitees
Let’s take a look at the non-roster invitees trying to make the Cincinnati Reds roster during this Spring Training
WELCOME BAAAAAAACK! The Reds kick off the 2021 season on Sunday with their first spring training game. As I do each spring training, I am going to take a look at the non roster invitees (NRI) and how they could impact the team this season.
R.J. Alaniz, Matt Ball, Cam Bedrosian, Jesse Biddle, Shane Carle, Josh Osich, Branden Shipley, Bo Takahashi
You might recognize a couple of these names. Alaniz has been around the organization the past couple of years and pitched 11.2 innings with the Reds in 2019. Biddle was a guy who was around last year, but the others are new. Carle (76.1 in), Osich (206.1 in), Shipley (100 in) have experience in the show with moderate results. Cam Bedrosian is the name to know here. The fact that he was signed on with a minor league deal is surprising. 277.2 innings with a 3.70 ERA has been a solid MLB pitcher. 2019 batters hit .207/.283/.336 and in 2020 they hit .196/.276/.255. His spin rate is gritty darn good honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a minor league deal that really is a promise on the roster. Think Jose Iglesias who was also a NRI a couple years back. This allows the Reds to delay their decision on making a 40 man roster move.
For a team that lost Rasiel Iglesias, Bradley, maybe Antone and Lorenzen to the rotation, Bedrosian will have a chance to really earn a legit role with this team. You don’t have to squint too hard to see a scenario where Shipley or Carle get innings this year.
Bittle and Osich are lefties that would have battled for the other LHP spot in the pen, but the signing of Doolittle bumps them to depth roles.
A 33 year old catcher with 37 at bats and a career .108 avg. Id say that there is not much to see here. Stephenson and Tucker are the one two punch and the offseason addition of Deivy Grullon will provide a younger depth option with a higher upside than Gale.
Cheslor Cuthbert, Dee Strange-Gordon (not listed on Reds roster yet)
Cuthbert isn’t a household name, but he does have over 1,000 at bats in the MLB. He had a decent season in ’16 with the Royals batting .274/.318/.413 and 12 HR, but he hasn’t shown enough to be a full time MLB player. Corner infield depth.
Here’s where I stand on Dee….If he is here to battle for a utility role, that’s fine with me. If he is here to be some variation of an answer at SS, we are in trouble. A 32 year old poor defender (who on the Reds isn’t at this point) who doesn’t have any power and doesn’t get on base. Yeah, he has stolen some bases. We all know speed is one of the first things to go when you age, and he still has some jump, but I don’t think it’s game changing speed at this point, and it’s useless unless he’s on base. I’m not high on Strange Gordan making an impact.
Nicky Delmonico, Tyler Naquin, Dwight Smith
I was worried about the Reds outfield depth. It’s a sneaky need, especially of Aquino doesn’t bounce back. This group of NRI is a group I am excited about. All have MLB experience and have had their moments. Delmonico had a nice (small sample size) rookie year with the White Sox in 2017, but has been worse each year since then. It’s the other two that catch my eye.
Dwight Smith has shown he has some pop in his bat. He is the type of player that you want to have in AAA ready to fill in if needed. Tyler Naquin is a guy I think could actually contribute to this team. We know 2020 was a small sample size, but look at the hard hit and exit velo. And his outfield jump/Outs above avg. fit in well with the team that doesn’t seem to care about defense.
He had a great rookie year in ’16, and has had moments since. .288/.325/.467 10 HR 19 2B in 2019 would be a good bench bat. The question is…is he better than Aquino/Heineman/Payton? Him and Payton are the two leftieis of the group. At the very least, I think he is great organizational depth, and I think his floor is a higher floor than the group listed above (maybe Aquino can make me eat crow there)
This list is different than most years. Not as many players listed, and no prospects. The number of players at Spring Training will be smaller than years past. Overall, I think theres 2-3 guys who could earn a role on the Reds 2021 roster.
Monday Morning Manager: The Snell Effect
David Bell has many things he needs to go right in order to win games and get a contract extension. One thing he can control is a decision-making process that should not be made entirely analytically.
In case you lived under a rock last year (and that might be Truer than in any other year) then you know how the World Series went down with the Rays falling to the Dodgers. You may even know about Blake Snell’s improbable removal from Game Six when he was absolutely on fire. This is something David Bell cannot mess up in 2021.
Ok, so in the grand scheme of things, I’m talking about the correct managing of the bullpen and rotation in pressure situations. Most people will look at the Game Six managing of Kevin Cash and see two things: a man sticking to his system that got him there and a man over-thinking things. Neither thoughts are incorrect.
In this day and age of baseball, most people understand statistical evaluations on pitchers favoring removing a starter before they pitch to the opposing lineup for the third time in a game. Well, maybe, because the numbers are a bit different in 2020, small sample size, and all. In fact, the Reds pitching staff held opponents to a .599 OPS in 253 plate appearances the third time through the order, last year. That may be a smoke screen, though, as the 2019 Reds pitching staff (largely similar to 2020) allowed an OPS of .892 in 799 PA. That’s a bit of a more reliable sample size, which would leave me to believe a starter pitching a third time through the order isn’t the most favorable idea.
Also something David Bell must consider is the overthinking aspect. In this Player’s Tribune post by the man, Blake Snell, himself, he points out the immense effect that simply seeing someone warming up in the bullpen had on him. Now, you can say “Well, that shouldn’t have been an issue, he should have sucked it up and pitched!” The dude is a human being. If you saw the person management was likely to replace you with if you messed something up at your job, are you going to just keep on keeping on with no thought to look over your shoulder? If you are, you might be a Jedi. Most of us mere mortals have problems with worrying about what might happen if things fall apart. Baseball players are not totally immune to this, either.
In order for Bell to garner a contract extension, he will have to adeptly manage a pitching staff that has talent, but also has human egos. Just because the numbers say that a decision should go one way, the human element must also be factored in. Last I checked, theres no button for that on a calculator, which leaves it up to his own decision-making skill.
The Cincinnati Reds Optimal Lineup
Let’s look past the Opening Day Lineup to the lineup the Cincinnati Reds could have, if everything is going right.
There will be many things said/written about the Opening Day Lineup and what that should like for the Cincinnati Reds. With the first full team workout happening Monday, let’s take a look at what the lineup should look like if things are going well for the Reds, this season. I’m going to exclude positions for this experiment and you’ll see why.
- Shogo Akiyama – Ideally, Shogo will be getting on base much closer to the clip he posted in September than the one he did in August of last year. If he does this, he will be producing what the Reds hoped he would when they made him the first Japanese-born Cincinnati Red.
- Jesse Winker – He broke out in a big way in 2020 and was the Reds best hitter. There’s no reason to think that won’t, at the very least, continue and probably will even get better.
- Eugenio Suarez – He should be the Reds best hitter and I believe he will regain that title in 2021.
- Mike Moustakas – Moose has always been a run driver-inner and, if things are going well he will continue to do so.
- Nick Castellanos – he could be the third hitter, but it would be an amazing season, indeed, if he gets on-base at a higher clip than Geno.
- Joey Votto – this isn’t meant to be an insult, just realistic. I’ve seen and heard takes putting him in the three-spot. That’s a great idea in 2017. Now, any power should be considered a bonus with the main expectation of him being an on-base catalyst for the bottom of the lineup/turning over of the lineup.
- Nick Senzel – him being down here is more a hope that the top six indeed prove worthy to be top six. This is also hoping he’s healthy enough to play everyday, or almost everyday, and build up enough momentum to produce at the level he is capable of. Also, the not labelling defensive position thing is because he should be in the running as a shortstop option, but it sure feels like that’s not the case. Before you say, “Jeff, he’s not a shortstop…” who on this roster is? Get the best eight (nine if the NL miraculously gets the DH) in the lineup and worry about defense later. That’s pretty much how this roster is built, anyway.
- Tyler Stephenson – in a few years, he should be hitting in the middle of the order. In 2021, let’s keep the pressure on low and watch him thrive in the box.
- Pitcher (again, we’ll reassess if the players and owners ever get together and figure this out before the season begins, but we aren’t holding our breath).
This lineup could be pretty good…maybe. As fans we can hope, the folks who run the Reds should not lean on that. The lineup I propose should only be if each player is performing to the level that is expected of him. More than likely, this lineup will not happen, because it is doubtful every single bat bounces back in 2021.