The best part of the 2019 Cincinnati Reds lineup is for the first time since, probably, the 1999 team, they have a ton of depth and versatility. Besides maybe Barnhart there is a real possibility that all of the rest of the starting regulars have an average of .275 or greater. That doesn’t include a bench with several players likely to bat over or close to that as well. They could also bat lefty righty from the 1-8 lineup positions if they wanted to as well. I don’t think there is any fixed way you will see the lineup for the first few months of the season because it has incredible flexibility. I’m going to take a stab at what I think the Opening Day lineup will be.
There is only one guy I have even heard mentioned as hitting leadoff and that’s Winker. The guy is an on base machine. He had a .299 AVG and a .405 OBP which was one of the best in the league until he was injured. I was listening to an interview with Winker on the Reds Hot Stove league where he stated his shoulder had not been right since college. If he’s been playing his entire time with the Reds with a bum shoulder I’m interested to see what he can do with one at full strength.
The second spot seems like will be either Senzel’s or Peraza’s. Senzel is listed as one of the top-10 prospects in all of MLB. His career minor league AVG of .314 and OBP of .390 shows that he can provide consistent opportunities to be score runs. Pereza was the silent killer last year. He amounted 182 hits, 85 runs, and 23 stolen bases. Although I am not one to think much of Spring Training games the dude is on FIRE right now. Both Pereza and Senzel also help to add some speed at the top of a slow lineup.
The third spot seems to be Votto’s as usual. Although I think there is a slight chance he bats second. Votto is poised to have a bounce back year. Even Votto himself stated he was disappointed in his performance. Despite that he still led the lead in OBP and made the All-Star team. Even more important this will without a doubt be THE best lineup Votto has been apart of during his career. No longer can they simply pitch around him. Plus the two batters in front of him should consistently get on base possibly helping to boost some of Votto’s power numbers.
These spots are probably the most up in the air position in the lineup. I would have to imagine its almost locked in stone to be some combination of Gennett, Suarez, and Puig. None of them will stay the same and probably go to the hot hand from week to week.
In following the lefty righty theme, I would go with Suarez, Scooter, and Puig in that order. Most fans will tell you Puig has to bat fourth because he’s going to hit over 40 dingers and a grand slam every month if you bat him fourth at GABP. Suarez who had his breakout season last year seems like the smarter bet. He hammered 34 HR’s, 104 RBI’s, 283 AVG, and 366 OBP during the 2018 season. That was without a stacked lineup too. I expect him to continue to put up the big numbers we have seen in a Reds uniform from him. What many thought would be a regression year turned out to be even better. Gennett tied Suarez for a team best 4.2 WAR. He has stated he wants to be in a Reds uniform after this season. I’m confident he will make it difficult for the Reds not to offer him an extension. Puig has not even played a game yet and is already the most talked about player on this team. He is without a doubt the most exciting player on the field because of his antics. And I mean that in a good way. However his numbers in recent years don’t show me that he needs to be batting clean up like most fans are probably anticipating. Even if he is batting sixth I still expect him to have a career season. Puig’s playing in GABP (a hitter friendly park), playing nearly every game, the fans are behind him 100%, and most importantly a contract year.
In a recent Bleacher Report Puig was quoted saying “The last couple years, I didn’t work hard because I still have a contract to go. Now I think I’ll work hard more than any year in my life.” Everything about his introduction to Reds Country lead me to believe he’s right. As far as extending his contract that may be a different story. For the 2019 season however Puig is my friend. I’m all in on him so much so I bought a t-shirt jersey.
I would assume the seven spot has belong to either Senzel or Peraza as well. The only person that may take this spot is the person to beat out Senzel for center field like Kemp or Schebler.
Eighth spot seems to be a lock for Tucker Barnhart. While never a better than average hitter, he makes up for his lack of a bat with his gold glove defense. Barnhart also seems to provide good leadership and dependability to the pitching staff.
My Guesstimate Opening Day Lineup 1. Winker- LF 2. Pereza- SS 3. Votto- 1B 4. Suarez- 3B 5. Gennett- 2B 6. Puig- RF 7. Senzel- CF 8. Barnhart- C
I would also like to add I pray they add the DH this year or next to the National League. Having to sit people like Kemp, Dietrich, Schebler, and Ervin consistently just isn’t fair.
Have Some Faith in The Rotation
The Cincinnati Reds are going to have eight bullpen arms on the everyday major league roster. Let’s make heads or tails of this.
For a large portion of the 2018 season the Cincinnati Reds carried eight relievers. While I absolutely hated it, I completely understood it. The Reds starting rotation was lucky to finish the sixth inning. Pitch counts often were creeping towards 100 pitches by the end of the fifth inning. The rotation itself, outside of Castillo and Harvey, seemed to be in constant flux due to injuries and poor performances.
On paper, the 2019 Cincinnnati Reds rotation appears to be about as middle of the road as you can get. Castillo, Sonny Gray, Tanner Roark, Disco, Alex Wood and now Tyler Mahle are all at least middle of the rotation guys . They will eat innings for your team if nothing else. I am expecting these guys to put up 6 innings nearly every appearance. Hopefully they will add plenty of quality starts, to boot. Why would you need eight relievers to back them up?
Madison Bumgarner said it best when referring to the idea of a bullpen opener, “If you’re using an opener in my game, I’m walking right out of the ballpark.” I think it’s an insult to starting pitchers for their goal to be complete 5 innings and hand the rest off to the bullpen. This leads me to believe there will be one bullpen pitcher that is extremely under utilized when he could be getting innings in the minors.
Meanwhile, the Reds are showing more roster depth on the bench than we have ever seen in the past 20 years. Rather than opting to have a fifth bench player, with a solid bat, you would rather use that position for an excessive amount of relievers. Matt Kemp, Scott Schebler, Jose Iglesias, Derek Dietrich, Phillip Ervin and Nick Senzel are all bats that could be getting significant playing time in the majors. All of which will have a significant impact on scoring runs and winning games for this team. It makes zero sense to me how you can justify using that roster spot for a player who will, maybe, pitch one or two innings a week at most. I think it also shows little faith in a rejuvenated rotation. While I don’t believe or expect this rotation to be as good as the 2012 Reds. I do expect them not to be warming up the bullpen in the fifth inning nearly every night.
Opening Day: Cincinnati’s Holiday
Opening Day for the Cincinnati Reds means so much more to this city than, pretty much, any other day.
No one does Opening Day like Cincinnati.
As an adult Opening Day is the only day I get to act like a kid again. No matter how good or bad the team is going to be, Opening Day in Cincinnati is always treated the same by the fan base. The one day of every year everyone who lives in the city has there minds on one thing…Cincinnati Reds baseball.
This year in particular is marked with serious celebration. The Cincinnati Reds are celebrating their 150th season since their beginnings in 1869 playing at the Union Ground close to Union Terminal. The annual holiday is also marked by the biggest yearly parade the town has to offer in the Findlay Markey Parade. The parade itself is celebrating it’s 100th anniversary this season. For a kid this is one of the coolest things you can witness as a Reds fan. All kinds of local high schools, kids baseball teams, local celebrities, local charities, veterans, former and even current Reds players participate.
Thanks to the lovely development of the riverbank area we are now able to take place in the most exciting party of the year. The Reds Opening Day Block Party at the Banks is THE event for Reds fan. Which, if you’re a baseball fan, is a guarenteed blast. Even better, the party raises a huge amount of money for the Reds Community Fund. There you can find all your local favorite foods (Skyline, LaRosa’s) lining the Banks with the cheapest alcohol you can find all season that close to the stadium. Live music and plenty of giveaways are passed out among the crowd. If mingling in the streets isn’t your fancy there are plenty of overly crowded restaurants where you can hang out. Most of them provide an exciting atmosphere during the game just like any other packed Reds game.
I personally have many experiences with Opening Day. In 1992, Opening Day also happened to fall upon my younger brother Adam’s arrival to planet Earth. When I arrived at the hospital I had zero interest in the newest addition to our family. I was more concerned about getting home in time to watch Opening Day and the NCAA Finals. At one of the mid 90’s Opening Days I was interviewed by the local news. The interview made me feel like a celebrity at the time. In 1996 I was a infuriated when after just a few pitches the game was cancelled because the umpire keeled over and never got back up. As an adult I feel terrible about that moment because he died from cardiac arrest. In the moment all I cared about was Opening Day.
I remember in 2000 being there to witness Ken Griffey Jr. for the first time in a Reds uniform. The Reds got what seemed to be a dream come true in the best player in the MLB at the time. Junior was the guy whose video game you owned, cleats you bought, and swing you emulated. We were going to be able to see him every night instead of just the highlights on Sportscenter. The team seemed to be on it’s way to becoming a powerhouse of the NL Central for years to come with his addition. The game itself was lackluster. It’s the only recorded tie 3-3 in the teams Opening Day history. Ultimately the hype exceeded reality with Junior’s tenure in Cincinnati. However, when he walked out on the field that day you would have thought the rebirth of the Big Red Machine took place.
I was present for Aaron Boone’s sac fly scoring Larkin in 2002, Joe Randa’s walk off homer in 2005, and Ramon Hernandez’s walk off in 2011. I have awkwardly ran into teachers and ex girlfriends during this holiday. However, my all time favorite Opening Day moment took place last year.
Opening Day 2018 I was interviewed by the local news. My brother was kind enough to take several still shots of my interview. Before I had even seen the footage he was kind enough to post a picture so amazing I want it shown at my funeral. Whenever they interview you on the news it usually will say your name and a short description about you. My description originally read Dave Pemberton: Reds Fan. My brother’s edited version said Dave Pemberton: Local Fat Kid. All of my close friends and family thought it was the funniest thing they’d ever seen. I loved it so much I used it as my fantasy football name. I guess this is payback for not wanting to hang out at the hospital with him when he was born on Opening Day all those years ago.
I hope all of Reds Country is able to participate and attend Opening Day at some point in their lives. Even those fair-weathered fans who have attended Opening Day will probably tell you it’s a must if you live in Cincinnati. For this Local Fat Kid it will always the best holiday of the year.
Losing Scooter Gennett for the chunk of time they are about to, puts the pressure on the Cincinnati Reds from the word go.
Scooter Gennett went down Friday afternoon with a groin injury. It was announced Saturday afternoon that he would be returning after 8-12 weeks. At best that puts him back in the middle of May and at worst middle of June.
Scooter is a vital part of this team. In his two years with the Cincinnati Reds, Scooter’s career has seen a revival. Gennett’s career in Cincinnati has totaled him a .303 AVG, .351 OBP, 50 HR, and tied a team best with Suarez for highest WAR in 2018 with 4.2. He was almost able to win a batting title last season on his way to an All-Star season. We must not also forget this guy wants to remain a Red after the 2019 season when his contract’s up. All the signs point toward Scooter putting up more amazing totals this year for the Reds. Missing Scooter for 2-3 months will have a significant impact on the teams win total.
On the surface there were three real options to replace Gennett till his return. This is in the order of how I expected the Reds to make this decision.
- Move Senzel to 2B for Opening Day. Get Senzel at least two months of playing time at the position he may very well start Opening Day in 2020. When Scooter returns move him back to CF.
- Derek Dietrich being left handed would be the second best option. Dietrich also has similar numbers to Iglesias at the plate.
- Jose Iglesias has played little at 2B but is a better glove than Dietrich. Move Pereza to 2B and Iglesias to SS as a temporary fix till Senzel is called up.
Dick Williams and David Bell announced today that the last option was what they are going to implement. As a part of that though they also announced Senzel will continue to play CF in Louisville and the Reds will roster Kyle Farmer on the bench to start the season. This move seems to go against the entire direction of moves the team has made this offseason. That direction being we are ready to win NOW.
This move to me says they are playing the baseball economics over winning now. On the surface this move can be justified as gaining one more year of contract control over Senzel. Schebler for what it’s worth put up stellar numbers in Spring Training. On paper he would be the better choice to start CF.
However as I said before Senzel’s time is NOW. If the Reds front office is serious about winning now there’s no reason Senzel doesn’t start in Scooter’s absence. Nick Senzel is ranked the number 6 top prospect in all of baseball. Many believe he could win batting titles in the future. Senzel has shown he’s willing to play anywhere to get himself on the roster. He’s put up a .314 AVG and .390 OBP during his minor league career. I personally think once he is given the opportunity he’s going to be the frontrunner for the Rookie of The Year. I’m a big fan of history. History shows when the Reds tried doing this last year it backfired horrendously when Senzel ended up needing season ending surgery. Why wouldn’t you want that guy on your team as soon as possible?
I truly hope this is just us getting worked up over nothing. Leading to Senzel seeing serious playing time in just two weeks as the starting 2B. While in between Iglesias, Dietrich, and Farmer are able to start out the season on fire. Otherwise the front office needs to be more up front with there plans on Nick Senzel. Finally I probably shouldn’t complain about this at all. None of these options are bad at all. After all none of the players mentioned as replacements were named Gosselin, Pennington, Kivlehan, Alcantara, Dixon, or Herrera.