The Reds head to Pittsburgh for their first road series of the season. The Pirates have started the season off hot but will be missing some familiar faces. This past offseason they traded away outfielder Andrew McCutchen and starting pitcher Garrett Cole.
These trades were met with heavy criticism in Pittsburgh as some fans believe they did not get enough in return. The McCutchen trade was an especially hard pill to swallow, even though his production was starting to decline. The Pirates general manager has gone on record saying that they are not rebuilding, but I will be interested to see if they ship out other players if they are out of contention as we get closer to the trade deadline.
Although the Reds only won 68 games last year, they managed to go 13-6 against the Pirates. For whatever reason I like beating the Pirates more than any other team in baseball. I think part of me still holds a grudge against them for the wild card loss in 2013.
Here’s a preview of the four game series:
RHP Homer Bailey v. LHP Steven Brault
Steven Brault will be the Pirates emergency starter this Thursday after pitching three scoreless innings out of the bullpen last Friday. Brault allowed one walk, two hits, and three strikeouts. This start was originally supposed to go to Joe Musgrove (prospect received in the Cole trade), but he is on the DL with a muscle strain.
This will be Brault’s 12th start in the majors. Homer Bailey is coming off a great performance on Opening Day where he only gave up four hits and three walks in six innings of work. The lone run he gave up was on what should have been a double play to end the inning.
RHP Luis Castillo v. RHP Trevor Williams
Despite walking five batters and only striking out one, Trevor Williams recorded a win in his first outing of the season. He went six innings and didn’t allow a single run. Williams managed to hold right-handed batters to a .225 batting average last season.
Luis Castillo is coming off a tough outing against the Nationals. He gave up six runs over five innings of work but only issued one walk. I’m not too concerned by his last outing and look for him to bounce back against a less powerful lineup in Pittsburgh.
RHP Sal Romano v. RHP Chad Kuhl
Chad Kuhl allowed eight hits in his last outing but managed to pick up the win against the Detroit Tigers. He really helped himself by not allowing a single walk over 5.2 innings. The Pirates were a bit worried about Kuhl coming out of spring training where he posted a 10.06 ERA with nine walks in seventeen innings.
Sal Romano threw 34 pitches and allowed a two-run home run in the first inning of his last start but still managed to give the Reds a quality start. He walked four and allowed four hits over six innings and only gave up two runs. Sal admitted that the only pitch working for him in his last start was his sinker. Hopefully he can get his other pitches straightened by the time this game starts.
RHP Tyler Mahle v. RHP Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon is probably the Pirates most talented starting pitcher and is starting to live up to the hype. He struck out nine batters in his last start while walking none. Don’t be surprised if Taillon is the ace of this staff by seasons end. Tyler Mahle is coming off a dominant outing vs the Cubs. He struck out seven batters and only issued two base on balls and one hit over six innings. Tyler benefits from having outstanding command, something other young starters for the Reds lack.
As mentioned earlier, Reds killer Andrew McCutchen is gone. This lineup still has the likes of outfielder Gregory Polanco, infielder Josh Harrison, and first baseman Josh Bell. Bell has eight hits in twenty at bats along with two walks. The big first baseman is the most powerful bat in their lineup and is someone the Reds should get used to seeing for the foreseeable future. Former Bearcat Josh Harrison is the Pirates spark plug as their lead off hitter and is also off to a good start.
I am interested to see how the Reds starting rotation does the second time around. The offense will come around to put up similar numbers to last year, and if the starting pitching can keep them in games then this could potentially be a very fun summer of Reds baseball. I am also keeping an eye on Jose Peraza, who has had an awful start to the season. He was benched last year in favor of Scooter Gennett and it will only be a matter of time before he sees the bench again if he continues his struggles at the plate this weekend.
Reds Mailbag: 7/08/2020
Let’s brush up on a few burning questions before the season gets going
BASEBALL IS BACK. The 2020 Reds will finally get to see the field. Sure, it will be totally different than we expected, but I’ll take it. Let’s jump into some mailbag questions.
Who will end up being the Reds MVP?
I think you have to go pitcher here. Pitching will be crucial in a shortened season, so let’s go with Luis Castillo. We all know he has the stuff of a true ACE. However, someone like Bauer/another starter playing at an MVP level would be a bigger impact to add to Gray and Castillo. Offensive MVP = Castellanos.
Will the Reds make the NLCS?
Yes. I think the Reds are set up well for a 60 game season. As many have said, the team that remains the heathiest has a huge leg up. The Reds have the starting pitching to have a chance to win each day. The offense should be there as well. Staying healthy is the most important thing to success this season.
Who will the 4 extra players be on the 30 man?
Injuries and illness could cause roster changes, but as of today: Nate Jones, Mark Payton, Tejay Antone, Alex Blandino.
I could be seeing some as locks or part of the “26” that others might see as bubble. Payton must be kept on because of the rule 5 pick or sent back to Oakland, and he shows enough talent. Blandino is the best option as a back up short (defensively) that’s had MLB experience. Jones is great when healthy, and you can’t have too many good arms in the pen. Antone is a guy I have been high on, and his increased velo stands out. He’s a back of the end rotation/Long relief guy.
Will Castellanos play for the Reds past this season?
Yes. Owners are likely to be cheap this offseason. Going into the free agent market hoping to make more than the Reds are set to pay him could be tough. I think Castellanos will love playing in GABP. This ballpark gives him an opportunity to put up big offensive numbers. I expect him to have a huge season.
Any chance Jose Garcia is on the Opening Day roster?
It would take a major injury to Galvis. Even then, I am not sure he would. He is the best pure SS of the back up options, but he hasn’t played above AA. I think if Galvis went down, the Reds might do it. But if Galvis just needs a couple of days off, Blandino/Farmer/”other” could step in.
Don’t get me wrong, I cannot wait to see Garcia take over the everyday SS at bats, but only once they feel he is ready. Who knows, a trade could still happen.
If the Reds win the WS do you think everyone will give it the same respect as a normal season?
Why not? It might even be more difficult to win this year than any other. Strategy will play a larger roll this year than any other. Managers will have to show what they are worth. Someone has to win the World Series this year, might as well be the Reds.
Remembering Reds: Corky Miller
Among the Reds’ fan favorites is a man not known for his statistical achievements, but for simply how awesome he was.
Morgan, Bench, Robinson, Larkin, and Miller. All names that Reds fans recog…wait, Miller? As in Corky Miller? Absolutely. Corky Miller, the minor league catcher with 539 career MLB at bats. The Miller that holds a career .193/.277/.306 53 OPS+ and a 0.0 WAR, yet everyone knows his name. And adores him. His stats won’t jump off the page, but his laid back attitude and fu Manchu leave a mark on your memory.
Signed by the Reds in 1998, Miller did not reach the show until 2001. In his 11 year career spanning from 2001-2013 (didn’t appear in 2011/2012) Miller never played more than 39 games in one season. So how did he become a household name? Well, probably because he looks more like your fun uncle than your favorite team’s catcher. Now don’t get me wrong, Corky brought value to the teams he was on. He was as much as a coach/mentor as he was a ballplayer. You will still find him in the Reds organization helping the young catchers develop. Let’s take a look at some of Corky’s highlights.
Corky steals home
When you think about baseball players stealing home you might immediately think about the great Jackie Robinson sliding in against the Yankees as Yogi Berra losses his mind at the “safe” call. Hell, you might even think about Benny “The Jet” Rodriguez pulling off the impossible feat in the last scene of the Sandlot. Well, Corky Miller joined this elite group on September 27th, 2001. As Omar Daal of the Phillies threw to first Miller showed off his wheels as his much slimmer self had a perfect slide under the tag. Miller walked back to the dugout as if he’s done this 1,000 times. Incredible swagger.
The Dancing KING
Fast forward to late June 2013. Miller finds himself back in a Reds uniform for the first time since 2010. Looking more like the Corky we know and love, sporting the fu Manchu, Miller shows off his quick footwork. Juan Uribe flies out to Jay Bruce who’s throw home took Corky off to the left of home. Hanley Ramirez, not the best baserunner himself, runs past home, retreats, dances around the grounded Miller only to be tagged on the third attempt while flailing towards home. This is so ugly that it is absolutely beautiful.
The Next Cy Young
Corky was more than a catcher and fan favorite. He was an elite pitcher. Well, maybe not elite. Over his career in the minors he pitched 7.2 innings and surrendered 14 hits, 13 earned runs and struck out 2. But in 2012 while playing for the Louisville Bats he pitched a scoreless inning. Down 13-0 in the bottom of the 8th, Miller came in to throw some rainbows in the general direction of home plate. A fly out to left, a pop out to first, and a fly out to right Miller put down the Columbus batters in order.
While his career might not stand out, Miller’s impact has. One of the beloved players in the clubhouse, he has mentored many young catchers along the way. Here’s to many more great years to Corky!
How a Shortened Season can Help and Hurt the Reds
step back and attempt to look at the way the Reds can benefit from a possible shortened season and how it could hurt them.
The world is in an obscure and unsure place. Today we were supposed to be watching a parade and cheering on the Redlegs. Instead, we are confused about the future of the 2020 season as we watch the 7th straight episode of a Netflix series, perfecting social distancing. How the 2020 season will be played has yet to be determined. I want to take a step back and attempt to look at the way the Reds can benefit from a possible shortened season and how it could hurt them.
Each day that passes without baseball is a day closer to a season without 162 games. For the sake of argument, let’s say the season is somewhere between 75-100 games. What ways can that benefit the Reds?
1. They can get healthy. Suarez, Senzel, and Galvis (amongst others) have battled some spring injuries. Extra time off only helps their recovery and could lead to a 100% healthy “Opening Day” lineup. Although Galvis is not a top ten talent at short, he is much better than the current back up options. Luckily, he should be ready to go and 100%.
2. The rotation can be a great strength. We all know how strong the current rotation is. The Reds could adjust the strategy because you won’t be worried about getting starters 32 starts and 200ish innings. With a compact season, you could let starters go deeper in games, or even go to a shorter rotation because you won’t be trying to strength out the innings over several months. Bauer and Disco are both on contract years and will be laser-focused on making the most of their fewer starts to prove their value come next offseason. If the league goes heavy on doubleheaders, Mahle and a few others could step up into the expanded rotation and stronger than many team’s depth starters.
3. How a shorten season benefits Votto? As Joey ages, he will need more days off, especially if the decline is steady. If Joey does not have to prepare himself for 162 games, it could lead to better results as he would be fresher. We all know he can get off to slow starts and avoiding that would be crucial in a shortened season.
How can the shortened season hurt the Reds?
1. David Bell is still a new manager. Fresh, unproven, inexperienced. At times in 2019, he cost the Reds some games. There is little to no margin for error in a short season. Each game means more and the lineup experimenting with playing players out of position won’t fly. Managerial experience will be extremely important in 2020 and hopefully Bell has improved after year one.
2. Lack of important experience for prospects. Tyler Stephenson, Jose Garcia, Jonathan India, and many other prospects are missing out on developmental time. This one really stings. A couple of the Reds top prospects are projected to be on the 2021 roster but needed some time in higher levels of the minors to learn and iron out a few things. You can train and work with coaches during this time, but the actual game experience cannot be overlooked.
3. Pressure. Obviously, every game counts each season. But a shortened season stresses the importance of each game. The Reds cannot afford to go on a losing streak as they did at the beginning of 2019. The expectations for 2020 remain high, and the pressure to perform is building. The adjustment to the MLB for Shogo must happen fast. Senzel has to stay healthy. The margin of error shrinks and pressure goes up. Iglesias cannot struggle to close out games or he’ll be replaced.
The 2020 season won’t be ideal. No one wants it to be this way. Watching 162 games a year is a joy and I will miss the routine of watching the Reds every night. Let’s hope this shortened season feels and plays like a playoff series where every aspect of the game is emphasized and more important. Here’s to everyone staying safe and healthy, and the Reds winning the pennant.