Connect with us

Cincinnati Reds

The Bad News: Why the Reds Are Doomed for Failure Yet Again

At least we still have Derek Dietrich

Published

on

(This article is a two-parter in which we examine the reasons to be both optimistic and pessimistic on the Reds so far. A “Jekyll and Mr. Hyde” take if you will)

This gif feels like it needs to be here, so I’ve added it. Yay.

The Cincinnati Reds are now fifty-plus games through the 2019 season, which is insane to think about. I can still remember what I was doing, thinking, and feeling both in and out in terms of baseball when opening day arrived. Maybe you do too, in which case I applaud you for such a vivid memory. If you’re one of those people, do you think you’ve made major life changes within that short time period? If you were to put present-day you right next to fifty-plus days in the past you, do you think you could tell any noticeable differences between the two? Perhaps you’ve set out a goal for yourself, and maybe you haven’t exactly achieved that goal yet, and that’s a major factor for your answer. Well if that’s the case, probability states you have plenty and plenty of time to figure things out, so don’t worry about it.

Unfortunately for the 2019 Reds, they don’t have that luxury, as time begins to grow shorter to flip things around this season.

What’s the point of this article you may be asking? Why Am I such a hater? Why am throwing in the towel so early? Aren’t we supposed to blindly follow our teams to the depths of Hell and back no matter what their record is?

The simple answer is it’s smarter to realize what exactly this team is made of sooner rather than later, because then we can figure out how to salvage anything from this roster through trades at the deadline, and start planning for next year. It’s to avoid the mistakes of making crucial roster moves at the wrong time (Todd Fraizer, Aroldis Chapman, Zack Cozart). Although it sounds rather cynical to say so, here’s why the season may be a lost cause for the Reds, if they want to have any sort of game plan to improve before it’s too late.

The Competition

Christian Yelich, Paul Goldschmidt, Kris Bryant, Josh Bell, Zach Davies, Marcell Ozuna, Anthony Rizzo, Trevor Williams, Lorenzo Cain, Javier Baez, Josh Hader.

It’s a good thing we have to face these guys like what, every other series right?

Against all NL Central opponents, the Reds are 10-16. That’s including a record of 4-2 against the NL Cenral leading Chicago Cubs. Let that one sink in for a moment. Do you think the Reds can sustain that pace against them?

These are the teams the Reds need to play on par with if they want any success this year, and so far they haven’t answered the call.

Looking at baseball reference’s playoff odds simulator, The NL Central is predicted to be the strongest division in baseball when it’s all said and done, with the finally over 500. Reds still sitting fifth with a projected record of 85-77. There are wild card teams who have snuck in at that record, look at the 2017 Twins for example. The cramped NL Central just isn’t the right environment for a team like this to survive.

I suppose you could argue that finishing above .500 would be a success for the Reds, even if it comes at the cost of finishing last in the Central again. Just know that doing so is celebrating over a participation trophy, which doesn’t sound so fun.

Poor Hitting

In losses for the Reds, the team as a whole is slashing a putrid .204/.270/.325 . By comparison, Chris Davis, the feared and revered Orioles slugger is pounding a similar .171/.257/.319. Not good Bob, not good.

Looking at team rankings, the Reds are 24th in batting average and on-base percentage with rates of .223 and .305 respectively, and they’re also 22nd in slugging with a percentage of .411 .

Regular names like Yasiel Puig, Jesse Winker, Jose Peraza, Tucker Barnhart, even Joey Votto have just been tough to watch so far. Really unless your name is Eugenio Suarez, Derek Dietrich, or Jose Iglesias, chances are it’s been a tough go around for you so far.

Of course, April was a dreadful month for the team as a whole. They’ve begun to heat up recently so perhaps there’s hope? As a team in their past 7 games, they’ve slashed .328/.387/.564 . Hopefully our sluggers can tap into this short hot streak.

One Run Games

Sure, if you’ve been paying attention to the telecasts, or doing some research on your own, you already know how dreadful the Reds are in one run games, but it’s worth reiterating.

The Reds as I type away, are simply not clutch when the situation calls for it. As of publishing, the Reds are 8-13 in one run games. However, in blowout games, (5+ runs) they’re 9-5. This is partly where you get that wonky run differential the Reds have at +36, but still have a record that speaks less.

Flat Out Luck

Baseball is a sport that is depended on luck more than any other, and unfortunately for the Reds, the theoretical ball is simply not bouncing their way this year. Of course, the previously mentioned run differential is at +36, which is second best in the division to the Cubs, and second best of all the teams in the wild card hunt behind the Diamondbacks at +43. Baseball Reference’s Pythagorean W-L has the Reds pegged at 32-24, which would tie the Cubs for the division lead. It really hurt me to type that so I’m going to guess that it’s going to hurt you to read as well.

Having been born and raised in Cincinnati, eating Skyline Chili and rooting on the Reds have gone hand in hand. Free times are usually spent scouring the web on Reds information, playing OOTP or the The Show, and pretty much filling up a baseball addiction through any means possible. Personal favorite memories include Jay Bruce's walk-off clinching Central title, watching Joey Votto do his thing, and Jonny Gomes' at bat shenanigans

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Cincinnati Reds

Positives of the Cincinnati Reds 2021 Season

The highs have been high, but man oh man the lows have been low. Clay Snowden checks in to highlight some of the positives from the first part of the Cincinnati Reds season.

Published

on

The highs have been high, but man oh man the lows have been low. This season has entertained us with some big moments like sweeping the cardinals, Wade Miley’s no – no, and a couple of winning streaks. The low’s have been low. Like, lower than Geno’s batting average low. I still have nightmares about the west coast trip. And as of right now, the Reds are hovering around .500. To be frank, that’s about where they should be. A roster with this many flaws, fakes, and aches won’t win many divisions, even if it’s an easier one like the NL Central. I wanted to take today to highlight some of the positives from the first part of the season.

 

The Future is Bright

The Reds rookie class is shaping up to be more than a few contributing pieces, but a core a build around. Johnathan India started off scorching hot, cooled down, but has since blossomed into one of the integral parts of this team and the Reds future. The former 5th overall pick switched positions and has shown he can flash the leather at second. Slashing .262/.374/.396 on the year, he’s really turned it on in June slashing .303/.425/.455. The most important part…the Reds have found a leadoff hitter. Something they have struggled to find.

Tyler Stephenson has not only shown he can hit at the big league level, but that he can become one of the best hitting catchers. His ability to play first has been the cherry on top. Slashing .269/.378/.425 with 5 HR he’’s proving he needs to play every day.  I expect a big breakout in 2022. What Alejo Lopez has shown in the minors is promising as a future switch-hitting bench bat that puts the ball in play.

The rookie arms have shown flashes as well. Vladimir Gutierrez and Tony Santillan have not been perfect, but they have shown enough to have a role in the future. Even if they become 4 or 5 starters under cheap team control, that’s a plus for the Reds. The top two pitching prospects, Nick Lodolo and Hunter Greene, have been battling for the title of “future ace”. Both have looked great, especially Lodolo. Greene is younger but developing quickly. Art Warren isn’t exactly a prospect but has pitched well enough to get a mention.

Internal MVP Race

No matter what the Reds do this summer, we will always have the summer of the MVP race. Jesse Winker has blossomed into one of the best pure hitters in the MLB while tapping into more power than he was every projected to have. Nicholas Castellanos had a frustrating covid season in 2020, where he showed power but chased too many bad pitches. Fast forward to 2021 and he’s a doubles machine. He’s hitting everything. Who knows how much longer he’ll be a Red, but what’s happening right now, two all star outfielders, doesn’t happen often. Enjoy it.

 

Reds Broadcast Team

I watch about 8 MLB games a night. Fantasy baseball has turned me into a monster, and MLB TV quad screen has been feeding that monster. I listen to games every time I’m in the car, and I can say with certainty the Reds have one of the best radio + TV groups. John Sadak has been energizing, positive, quirky, and unique. He’s been a breath of fresh air compared to the previous. Larkin was awful at the beginning of the season but has improved, and will continue to improve. Tommy Thrall is gold. He’s in his second year but has been amazing. Chris Welch brings intelligence of the game that makes us smarter each day and Cowboy is just fun as can be. It might seem small but trust me a bad team with bad announcers is unbearable. The Reds nailed this.

 

A baseball season is a roller coaster of emotions. 162 games is a long season. Sure, it’s frustrating that Bob won’t spend the money, but at the end of the day I am thankful I have a team to watch every day. Especially after last season, I will not take that for granted.

Continue Reading

Cincinnati Reds

Forgotten Names From Cincinnati Reds Past: Where They are Now

I decided I’d construct a list of former Cincinnati Reds players (or organizational players) who are rostered in some form of professional baseball.

Published

on

On May 22nd, Jose Godoy, a back up catcher with 9 years of minor league experience, debuted for the Seattle Mariners. You might not know who Godoy is, and why should you? He’s already back in AAA. He became the 20,000 player to ever play in the major leagues, and likely an answer to a future trivia question. Every few months I find myself shuffling through random rosters in search of the “AH I Remember that guy” moment. While doing this, I decided I’d construct a list of former Reds players (or organizational players) who are rostered in some form of professional baseball. The process consisted of me reviewing rosters and going solely based off my memory, so I likely missed several.

 

AAA

Nick Longhi (OF – Isotopes)

Juan Graterol (C – Bisons)

Christian Colon (IF – Bisons)

Dilson Herrera (IF – Bisons) The return of the Jay Bruce trade.

Scott Moss (P – Clippers)

Patrick Kivlehan (OF Chihuahuas)

Brian O’Grady (OF Chihuahaus)

Jesse Biddle (P Stripers)

Tanner Roark (P – Stripers)

Phillip Ervin (OF – Stripers) I once wrote that Winker and Ervin would lead to a perfect LF platoon team…lol.

Joe Hudson (C – Indians)

Ron Villone (Pitching Coach – Iowa Cubs)

Josh A. Smith (P – Jumbo Shirmp)

Chad Wallach (C – Jumbo Shrimp)

Brandon Allen (Hitting Coach – Redbirds)

Rick Sweet (Manager – Sounds) Former Bats manager and one of the nicest guys. 

Nick Ciuffo (C – Tides)

Seth Mejias-Brean (IF – Tides)

Josiah Gray (P – Dodgers)

Kevin Quackenbush (P – Dodgers)

Tim Federowicz (C – Dodgers)

Matt Davidson (1B – Dodgers) 

Emmanuel Burriss (Hitting Coach – Dodgers)

Domingo Tapia (P- Chasers)

Alex Powers (P – Aces)

Stuart Fairchild (OF – Aces)

Jimmy Herget (P-Express) Man I was high on Herget. He never panned out. 

Chadwick Tromp (C – River Cats)

Arismendy Alcantara (IF – River Cats)

Jolbert Cabrera (Fundamentals Coach – River Cats)

Packy Naughton (P – Bees)

Scott Schebler ( OF- Bees) He will go down as the most forgotten player to ever hit 30 HR in a season. 

Lou Marson (Manager – Bees)

Ray Olmedo (Defensive Coach – Bees)

Sal Romano (P – RailRiders)

Asher Wojciechowski (P – RailRiders)

Derek Dietrich (IF – RailRiders) The 2019 Reds were not very good, but man they were fun. DD was a leader of that fun.

Ryan LaMarre (OF – RailRiders)

Rob Brantley (C – RailRiders)

Jose Siri (OF Skeeters) So many tools but too many K’s. Everyone was so mad when the Reds let him go, but he hasn’t made an impact in several other stops. 

Cheslor Cuthbert (IF – Mets)

Zack Weiss ( P- Rainiers) Weiss is the owner of an INF ERA

Kristopher Negron (Manager – Rainiers)

Justin Grimm (P – Rainiers)

Matt Magill (P – Rainiers)

Mike Hessman (Hitting Coach – Mud Hens)

Ian Krol (P- Mud Hens)

Austin Brice (P – Red Sox)

Jeter Downs (If –  Red Sox )

 

AA

Keyvius Sampson (P – Barons)

Jameson Hannah (OF – Yard Goats)

Chris Denorfia (Manager – Yard Goats) One of my favorites growing up. 

Hendrik Clementina (C – Braves)

Ibandel Isabel (1B – Trash Pandas)

Mitch Nay (IF – Trash Pandas)

Matt Bowman (P Patriots)

 

Other (Mexican/Independent)

Yasiel Puig (OF)

David Holberg (P – Milkmen)

Gavin LaValley (IF/OF Kane County Cougars)

Nick Travieso (P – Kansas City Monarchs)

Darnell Sweeney ( IF _ Kansas City Monarchs)

Gabby Guerrero (OF – Kansas City Monachs) This guy had a great year with the Bats and I thought had a chance. 

Tony Cingrani (P Lexington Legends)

JJ Hoover ( P – Legends)

Jordan Pacheco (C – Legends)

Brandon Phillips (INF – Legends)

Daryl Thompson (Southern Maryland Blue Crabs)

Mat Latos (P – Southern Maryland Blue Crabs)

Continue Reading

Cincinnati Reds

Under the Radar Prospects for the Cincinnati Reds: 4 Names to Know

Here are four players you may not already be aware of who could be building their prospect status for the Cincinnati Reds

Published

on

Hunter Greene, Nick Lodolo, Jose Garcia, and many other names highlight most “Reds prospect list”. But who are some other names to watch for? So much time and focus goes towards the top 30 guys, but several organizational players are starting to blossom. Let’s look at 4 names to keep an eye on that are not on the top 30 prospects.

 

Alejo Lopez 2B  AA (25 years old .373/.447/.458 .326 wOBA)

Anyone who’s followed me on Twitter knows my love affair with Alejo Lopez. The Lookouts leadoff batter is so fun to watch. He hits everywhere he goes. A career .302/.373/.757 slash line will show that. He simply always puts the ball in play and has enough speed to steal some cheap hits (10.6% K rate 88.5% contact rate). His glove plays well enough, but his power doesn’t. 7 career home runs in 1254 at bats, but there’s enough of a hit tool to keep him interesting. You’ll see in this video how he just pokes the ball and get’s the ball in play.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5ZieFsTsow

 

 

Reiver Sanmartin SP  AAA (25, AA stats: 18 innings 0.50 ERA 23 K’s)

Sanmartin was the extra piece acquired in the Sonny Gray deal a couple of years back from the Yankees. The lefty has steadily worked his way through the system and just got the call up to AAA Louisville. He has an interesting arm angle which helps with deception and K numbers. He’s been a starter his entire career, but with the number of high-end starter prospects ahead of him, sliding to the bullpen could be the next move. The Reds have Doolittle (FA after 2020) and Amir in the pen with Perez, Finnegan, Osich, and Diehl as organizational depth. I will be watching closely to Sanmartin this year.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JI57hy9cYb4

 

Leonardo Rivas SS AA (23, .375/.490/.550 16.3% BB% 20.4 K %)

The switch-hitting SS was acquired from the Angels in the Rasiel Iglesias trade last winter. Only 23 years old, he’s still young but has plenty of experience (1445 at bats). He has speed (89 SB) and has a career .383 OBP. The Reds need an answer at short. Garcia looks like the answer for 2022, but he’ll need a back up and the organization needs depth. Rivas doesn’t project to be a star, but the only other “prospects” at short in the organization in AAA are Errol Robinson and Alfredo Rodriguez.

 

Dauri Moreta RP AA (25, 2.08 ERA 12 K’s 8.2 innings 2 BB)

Moreta career numbers look good but not great. However, his 2019 (and so far in 20201) looked really good. 2019: 2.35 ERA 64 K’s to 9 Walks in 57.1 innings. He has a fast past pace, quick set delivery. His strikeout to walk ratio is good enough to play. With the amount of arms the cycle through a bullpen each year, Moreta could be looking to earn a spot in 2022, or at least a chance.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Xi2I70T748&t=26s

 

Other names to watch:

Lorenzo Cedrola, Evan Kravetz, James Proctor, Daniel Vellojin, Braxton Roxby, Eduardo Salazar, Quinn Cotton

Continue Reading

Trending