Scooter Gennett is having a great season for the Reds. He’s leading the National League in batting average – .326. He’s hit 16 home runs, 60 RBIs and is third in the league in hits – 112.
Gennett has played his way into multiple discussions. Most Reds fans want to keep him long term. Gennett is under team control through the 2019 season.
Trading him makes a lot of sense. Gennett came to Cincinnati as a 26-year-old journeyman and is playing better than anyone could’ve imagined. His trade value probably won’t be higher than it is right now.
The Reds have a pipeline of infielders waiting for their shot, including top prospect Nick Senzel, who is expected to play second base in the major leagues. They also have Dilson Herrera, Alex Blandino, Shed Long and other second basemen in their minor league system.
It’s a tough decision for the Reds, but it’s one that they have to get right. The ‘who’ matters when we’re talking about Gennett’s future in Cincinnati.
Who is making the decision? Is it recently promoted general manager Nick Krall? Is it Dick Williams? Is it ownership?
This decision could derail the rebuild or it could be the final shot in the arm the Reds need to get over the hump and become legitimate playoff contenders next season.
Mark Sheldon of MLB.com talked with Gennett, who said Reds owner Bob Castillini wants him around long term:
“Just from the talks that I’ve had with the guys in control of all those things, I feel like they want me here. I feel like, just from what I’ve been told, they want me here for the long term,” Gennett told Sheldon on Friday. “What I’m getting is [CEO Bob Castellini] wants me here for a while. When it comes to all of the trade stuff, it would be going against what I’ve been hearing.”
This, well this is a scary scenario for Reds fans. Ownership should not be making this decision. Williams and Krall should be calling the shots. Do I trust them? Not necessarily, but I want them to get a legitimate chance to guide this organization back to the playoffs.
Castellini may want Gennett back, but this is the same person who has reportedly refused to trade Billy Hamilton. He’s the same owner who gave Brandon Phillips more money than he was worth. Castellini shouldn’t be making this decision.
Gennett is likely having the best season of his career. Extending him makes some sense, but it also means the organization may have to trade its’ top prospect. The Reds would be investing in a player who will be in his 30’s by the time his contract is up.
So unless Scooter Gennett is willing to truly take a hometown discount – like, half price of what everyone else should pay him, it's just tough for me to say it makes sense for the Reds. If they didn't have Senzel/Long/Downs/Blandino/Herrera – maybe it's different. But they do.
— Doug Gray (@dougdirt24) July 14, 2018
I understand those who want to keep Scooter around. He’s a National League All-Star and it seems like the Reds have traded all of their top players in recent seasons. A good argument could be made for an extension, but it isn’t that simple.
We can all see the light at the end of the tunnel. If the Reds make the right moves at the trade deadline and this offseason, we could be talking about a playoff contending team in 2019.
I’ve said all along that the Reds need to be open to trading Gennett. His value will never be higher. That doesn’t mean they have to trade him, which is a good position to be in, but they should definitely consider it.
How many times do we see an owner swoop in and make decisions for the professional sports franchise he/she owns? How many times does it turn out to be the right decision for the team? Does anyone trust Castellini to make the correct baseball decision for this team? Who comes to mind when you think of stubborn sports owners, who have hurt their organization by making decisions they hired others to make? Jerry Jones, James Dolan, Dan Gilbert and Dan Snyder all come to mind and I know I left plenty of other owners out.
I’m sick and tired of wondering if ownership is going to let Williams and Krall do their jobs. I’m annoyed that every time I bring up the Reds potentially trading Hamilton, I have to preface it with “if ownership allows it.” Castellini needs to get out of the way and let the front office that he hired do their jobs. That may mean keeping Gennett, but that also may mean trading him even though he’s having a career season.
I know that Castellini wants to see this team win again. It could happen as soon as next season, but he needs to step aside and let his baseball decision-makers do exactly that – make baseball decisions.
For more on Gennett, listen to the Locked on Reds podcast below:
Cincinnati Reds Roster Breakdown: Non Roster Invitees
Let’s take a look at the non-roster invitees trying to make the Cincinnati Reds roster during this Spring Training
WELCOME BAAAAAAACK! The Reds kick off the 2021 season on Sunday with their first spring training game. As I do each spring training, I am going to take a look at the non roster invitees (NRI) and how they could impact the team this season.
R.J. Alaniz, Matt Ball, Cam Bedrosian, Jesse Biddle, Shane Carle, Josh Osich, Branden Shipley, Bo Takahashi
You might recognize a couple of these names. Alaniz has been around the organization the past couple of years and pitched 11.2 innings with the Reds in 2019. Biddle was a guy who was around last year, but the others are new. Carle (76.1 in), Osich (206.1 in), Shipley (100 in) have experience in the show with moderate results. Cam Bedrosian is the name to know here. The fact that he was signed on with a minor league deal is surprising. 277.2 innings with a 3.70 ERA has been a solid MLB pitcher. 2019 batters hit .207/.283/.336 and in 2020 they hit .196/.276/.255. His spin rate is gritty darn good honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a minor league deal that really is a promise on the roster. Think Jose Iglesias who was also a NRI a couple years back. This allows the Reds to delay their decision on making a 40 man roster move.
For a team that lost Rasiel Iglesias, Bradley, maybe Antone and Lorenzen to the rotation, Bedrosian will have a chance to really earn a legit role with this team. You don’t have to squint too hard to see a scenario where Shipley or Carle get innings this year.
Bittle and Osich are lefties that would have battled for the other LHP spot in the pen, but the signing of Doolittle bumps them to depth roles.
A 33 year old catcher with 37 at bats and a career .108 avg. Id say that there is not much to see here. Stephenson and Tucker are the one two punch and the offseason addition of Deivy Grullon will provide a younger depth option with a higher upside than Gale.
Cheslor Cuthbert, Dee Strange-Gordon (not listed on Reds roster yet)
Cuthbert isn’t a household name, but he does have over 1,000 at bats in the MLB. He had a decent season in ’16 with the Royals batting .274/.318/.413 and 12 HR, but he hasn’t shown enough to be a full time MLB player. Corner infield depth.
Here’s where I stand on Dee….If he is here to battle for a utility role, that’s fine with me. If he is here to be some variation of an answer at SS, we are in trouble. A 32 year old poor defender (who on the Reds isn’t at this point) who doesn’t have any power and doesn’t get on base. Yeah, he has stolen some bases. We all know speed is one of the first things to go when you age, and he still has some jump, but I don’t think it’s game changing speed at this point, and it’s useless unless he’s on base. I’m not high on Strange Gordan making an impact.
Nicky Delmonico, Tyler Naquin, Dwight Smith
I was worried about the Reds outfield depth. It’s a sneaky need, especially of Aquino doesn’t bounce back. This group of NRI is a group I am excited about. All have MLB experience and have had their moments. Delmonico had a nice (small sample size) rookie year with the White Sox in 2017, but has been worse each year since then. It’s the other two that catch my eye.
Dwight Smith has shown he has some pop in his bat. He is the type of player that you want to have in AAA ready to fill in if needed. Tyler Naquin is a guy I think could actually contribute to this team. We know 2020 was a small sample size, but look at the hard hit and exit velo. And his outfield jump/Outs above avg. fit in well with the team that doesn’t seem to care about defense.
He had a great rookie year in ’16, and has had moments since. .288/.325/.467 10 HR 19 2B in 2019 would be a good bench bat. The question is…is he better than Aquino/Heineman/Payton? Him and Payton are the two leftieis of the group. At the very least, I think he is great organizational depth, and I think his floor is a higher floor than the group listed above (maybe Aquino can make me eat crow there)
This list is different than most years. Not as many players listed, and no prospects. The number of players at Spring Training will be smaller than years past. Overall, I think theres 2-3 guys who could earn a role on the Reds 2021 roster.
Monday Morning Manager: The Snell Effect
David Bell has many things he needs to go right in order to win games and get a contract extension. One thing he can control is a decision-making process that should not be made entirely analytically.
In case you lived under a rock last year (and that might be Truer than in any other year) then you know how the World Series went down with the Rays falling to the Dodgers. You may even know about Blake Snell’s improbable removal from Game Six when he was absolutely on fire. This is something David Bell cannot mess up in 2021.
Ok, so in the grand scheme of things, I’m talking about the correct managing of the bullpen and rotation in pressure situations. Most people will look at the Game Six managing of Kevin Cash and see two things: a man sticking to his system that got him there and a man over-thinking things. Neither thoughts are incorrect.
In this day and age of baseball, most people understand statistical evaluations on pitchers favoring removing a starter before they pitch to the opposing lineup for the third time in a game. Well, maybe, because the numbers are a bit different in 2020, small sample size, and all. In fact, the Reds pitching staff held opponents to a .599 OPS in 253 plate appearances the third time through the order, last year. That may be a smoke screen, though, as the 2019 Reds pitching staff (largely similar to 2020) allowed an OPS of .892 in 799 PA. That’s a bit of a more reliable sample size, which would leave me to believe a starter pitching a third time through the order isn’t the most favorable idea.
Also something David Bell must consider is the overthinking aspect. In this Player’s Tribune post by the man, Blake Snell, himself, he points out the immense effect that simply seeing someone warming up in the bullpen had on him. Now, you can say “Well, that shouldn’t have been an issue, he should have sucked it up and pitched!” The dude is a human being. If you saw the person management was likely to replace you with if you messed something up at your job, are you going to just keep on keeping on with no thought to look over your shoulder? If you are, you might be a Jedi. Most of us mere mortals have problems with worrying about what might happen if things fall apart. Baseball players are not totally immune to this, either.
In order for Bell to garner a contract extension, he will have to adeptly manage a pitching staff that has talent, but also has human egos. Just because the numbers say that a decision should go one way, the human element must also be factored in. Last I checked, theres no button for that on a calculator, which leaves it up to his own decision-making skill.
The Cincinnati Reds Optimal Lineup
Let’s look past the Opening Day Lineup to the lineup the Cincinnati Reds could have, if everything is going right.
There will be many things said/written about the Opening Day Lineup and what that should like for the Cincinnati Reds. With the first full team workout happening Monday, let’s take a look at what the lineup should look like if things are going well for the Reds, this season. I’m going to exclude positions for this experiment and you’ll see why.
- Shogo Akiyama – Ideally, Shogo will be getting on base much closer to the clip he posted in September than the one he did in August of last year. If he does this, he will be producing what the Reds hoped he would when they made him the first Japanese-born Cincinnati Red.
- Jesse Winker – He broke out in a big way in 2020 and was the Reds best hitter. There’s no reason to think that won’t, at the very least, continue and probably will even get better.
- Eugenio Suarez – He should be the Reds best hitter and I believe he will regain that title in 2021.
- Mike Moustakas – Moose has always been a run driver-inner and, if things are going well he will continue to do so.
- Nick Castellanos – he could be the third hitter, but it would be an amazing season, indeed, if he gets on-base at a higher clip than Geno.
- Joey Votto – this isn’t meant to be an insult, just realistic. I’ve seen and heard takes putting him in the three-spot. That’s a great idea in 2017. Now, any power should be considered a bonus with the main expectation of him being an on-base catalyst for the bottom of the lineup/turning over of the lineup.
- Nick Senzel – him being down here is more a hope that the top six indeed prove worthy to be top six. This is also hoping he’s healthy enough to play everyday, or almost everyday, and build up enough momentum to produce at the level he is capable of. Also, the not labelling defensive position thing is because he should be in the running as a shortstop option, but it sure feels like that’s not the case. Before you say, “Jeff, he’s not a shortstop…” who on this roster is? Get the best eight (nine if the NL miraculously gets the DH) in the lineup and worry about defense later. That’s pretty much how this roster is built, anyway.
- Tyler Stephenson – in a few years, he should be hitting in the middle of the order. In 2021, let’s keep the pressure on low and watch him thrive in the box.
- Pitcher (again, we’ll reassess if the players and owners ever get together and figure this out before the season begins, but we aren’t holding our breath).
This lineup could be pretty good…maybe. As fans we can hope, the folks who run the Reds should not lean on that. The lineup I propose should only be if each player is performing to the level that is expected of him. More than likely, this lineup will not happen, because it is doubtful every single bat bounces back in 2021.