What a night. A fight for the ages. A trade in the middle of the fight. I was on the phone with multiple friends and family discussing the fight and the trade that had been rumored to take place. I was yelling at the television. The bigger story is the EPIC three-team trade that took place.
On the surface it doesn’t look favorable for the Reds. The Reds traded both Yasiel Puig to the Indians and their top listed prospect, according to MLB Pipeline, in Taylor Trammell, to the Padres. Many felt if the Reds didn’t keep Puig than Trammell was going to be the person who eventually filled his role. In return the Reds got a great, and controversial, starting pitcher, in Trevor Bauer. The Reds who have had some of the best starting pitching in baseball, so why would they go after ANOTHER starting pitcher?
The overview of this shows the Reds front office trading away their most popular player in Yasiel Puig. He’s been one of the hottest hitters in baseball since mid June, after a slow start. He’s had a walk off hit and scored the walk off run earlier this month against the Brewers. The Red Warrior aka El Guerrero Rojo was willing to take on the Pirates by himself, and even did it after reports of him being traded. According to many, he was seen as the Reds biggest priority to resign for next season. He loved the community, his teammates, and is the reason social media was created.
Most people will read about the trade and only see the Reds trading away there top prospect in outfielder Taylor Trammell. Trammell, only 21 years old, had been the one man highlight reel at the MLB Futures game. In the 2018 game he hit a a massive home run and a triple in the game winning the MVP honors. This year he followed it up in the 2019 Futures game going 1-2 with an RBI and was caught stealing home (replay showed him to be safe). He’s young, confident, and very likable guy.
Trevor Bauer is a great, forward-thinking mentality, who always seems willing to learn how to improve. To many, though, he’s the guy who lost his mind Sunday and chucked a ball over center field from the pitchers mound out of anger from being removed from the game. He brings much more baggage, such as going after other people on Twitter, advocating conspiracy theories, and drone injury that messed up a playoff start to name a few things. While he’s not a rental player for a playoff push, he’s not far from it. Bauer only has team control through 2020. He’s eligible for arbitration next season making $13 million this year. That would make him the highest paid starter on the Reds for 2020. What does this mean for the rest of the Reds starting rotation, who have been one of the best in all of baseball this year? Castillo, Gray, Roark, Wood, Disco, and Mahle all vying for a spot.
Here’s the flip side of all of this. Taylor Trammell is presented as the Reds top prospects but has had two regressive years. His career slash line for the minors is .273/.367/.408. His 2019 slash line .236/.349/.336 in Chattanooga AA. Realistically at best he’d probably be an everyday starter not until 2021 or 2022 when he could make an impact at the major league level. That’s if he can figure out a way to improve his development. The Reds even with Puig gone have a bit of logjam in there outfield with Winker, Senzel, Ervin, and VanMeter. As a fan do you really want to bet your team being competitive again on a top prospect struggling in AA after four 90 loss seasons? I don’t.
Trevor Bauer was one of the bigger fish the Reds were rumored to be going after this offseason. 2018 he finished sixth in Cy Young voting and was an All-Star. He’s on pace to have pitched more than 175 innings for five straight seasons. He focuses heavily on improving his mechanics using high speed cameras. He’s actually developed new pitches in the past few years. He gives this staff a frightening front three in Castillo-Gray-Bauer for the 2020 season. If you want to know more about his focus on player development read MVP Machine because even if you don’t like him personally he’s definitely cutting edge when it comes to his insight on pitching. Most importantly I think the Reds are going to possibly flip him over to a team ready to win a World Series before the deadline tomorrow. They could get a haul for him by trading to him to someone like the Yankees.
Yasiel Puig was OUR dude. While his stent was short lived almost everyone loved him from the fanbase. As exciting as he has been to watch on the field these past two months Puig was still below his career numbers for .AVG, .OBP, and OPS+. Many also felt that he would try and test the free agency waters no matter what this offseason. The Reds only had two other options for potentially keeping him. A contract extension or a qualifying offer in which they were either compensated a draft pick if he didn’t sign or overpay him to stay an extra year.
Something not many people are talking about that is a real possibility being the Reds signing Yasiel Puig this offseason. Especially if they move Bauer. The Yankees moved Chapman to the Cubs. Chapman helped them win a World Series then he went back and signed with Yankees where he still remains. The Reds front office said they are looking to spend money to be competitive again. Meaning they should spend as much or more than they did in payroll this season. The Reds could have anywhere from $50-70 million to give out in contracts this offseason. So far the front office under the leadership of Dick Williams and Nick Krall haven’t disappointed. When I attended the photo day for season tickets I spoke with Dick Williams for about 30 seconds last Saturday. I told him that they haven’t really made a mistake in my opinion so far. His response “Then I’m sure you won’t be disappointed with what’s to come.” I think there is more to come. Trust the front office.
Mailbag: Senzel, Winker, Votto, and More
Time for an offseason mailbag to get your focus on what the Reds need to do th be better for 2021
It’s been a while and we have all had a chance to process that Reds playoff performance. Yuck. However, it is time for offseason talk. Let’s get into the mailbag.
What are the Reds going to do at catcher? The Reds and pitchers seem to like Casali and Barnhart behind plate..
The Reds once again went with the duo of Casali and Tucker behind the plate in 2020. The results were underwhelming, but not miserable. Tucker is a finalist for a gold glove while hitting .204/.291/.388 and an OPS+ of 77. Casali hit .224/.366/.500 with an OPS+ of 126. However, we all want to see the exciting prospect, Tyler Stephenson, take his reign of the position. I expect exactly that next season. Having a veteran backing him up is important so I’d imagine Tucker plays that role as he is under contract while Casali will enter arbitration.
In terms of how the pitchers like Casali and Tucker, I think that just comes with time. I am sure once the pitchers get to work with Stephenson more, they will learn to pitch well to him.
If there is a DH in 2021, shouldn’t #19 fill that role and let Da Wink and (place RH bat here) platoon at 1st?
The only thing the Reds have now is time (between now, and next season). So, what is their excuse for not putting Senzel at 2B, and give him regular ABs? (This makes Votto the DH, and Moose 1B)
What’s the odds of moving Senzel to 2nd, Moose to 1st and Votto to DH.
Well this is my intake everybody has one with the Outfield I guess we’re not going to have a DH going forward so Jesse Winker needs to be traded along with Nick Senzel I definitely keep Shogo, and hopefully we can keep Castellanos and let’s go try to get a productive outfielder
I want to clump all these together because it’s pretty much all the same gist. So, let’s breakdown what it could look like with and then without the DH.
WITH: Votto to DH, Moose to first, Senzel STAYS in center, second is open to add speed/OBP.
Explanation: Votto’s defense is terrible. His contract isn’t going anywhere, so put him at DH. He still has something left with the bat. When Moose signed he wasn’t signing on to play second for the duration of that contract. No way. Move him to first and the defense at first likely improves. Keep Senzel in Center. Injuries and swing changes have stunted the development of Senzel enough. Asking him to change back to second after 2 years of focusing on becoming a CF just feels like something they will not do. He hasn’t done any work (that we know of ) at second since he moved to CF.
Now for 2B. Bringing back the same team that barely sneaked into an expanded playoff (while maybe losing Bauer) seems like a bad idea. Changes have to be made. The Reds added plenty of HR power last offseason, now add a 2B that might be a better OBP guy. Speed and better baserunning would be welcomed as well. In theory, this could increase the defensive ability at second as well.
WITHOUT: Votto at first (with plenty of days off), Moose at 2B, Senzel in CF, Winker traded.
Explanation: Votto really doesn’t have anywhere else to go besides the bench. There is not an option at this point, when they play him he will be at first. Which leaves Moose at second. Again, not a thrilling defensive side of the infield, but Moose held his own at second but as he gets older his range will continue to drop. Senzel in CF for the same reason’s I listed above. Winker is traded. In this scenario, I am still looking to shake up the team from 2020. ( I am also assuming Castellanos is returning) An OF with Winker and Castellanos fielding would be far less than ideal. I really like Winker, but Shogo could be ready for a bigger role. Winker has trade value and could strengthen the team in other areas by moving him. If the Reds make a big trade like many fans are hoping for, they will have to move MLB talent. They do not have enough top-end prospects to trade. If they do move the top prospects, they will deplete their farm system because it lacks depth. Remember, to acquire top-end talent you have to trade high value. Prospects out of the top 5 usually aren’t considered too high by many other organizations.
Goldstar or Skyline and Cut or Twirl
I have never even had Goldstar. No need to. Skyline fills my needs. Twirl
Predicting the Final Stretch
Let’s take a look at what’s left for the Reds in the 2020 Regular Season and what they need to do to make it to the Playoffs
September 18th, the weather is cooling down, football is starting (Bengals 0-2), every restaurant is putting pumpkin in everything, and the Reds have playoff hopes……wait what?! Yes, that’s right. The Reds are alive in September. Usually, these are the days of expanded roster players eating up innings as the season drags to the end. Not this year. Your Cincinnati Reds are playing for postseason baseball.
We all knew the Reds needed to get the four-game sweep of the Pirates. 4 games against one of the worst teams with so much on the line. Well, the Reds got it done. A clean sweep. This sweep, combined with the Cardinals losing a few games, leaves the Reds in sole possession of second place in the central. Now, I wouldn’t assume they will be there come September 27th. The Cardinals do have doubleheaders today (Friday) and next Friday and we know it can be hard to win twice in a day. They also play the Pirates (15-34), Royals (23-26), and Brewers (21-29) to finish the season. Favorable to say the least. The Reds have the White Sox (33-17), Brewers (21-29), and Twins (31-21).
The White Sox might be my favorite team to watch this year. A mixture of young studs and all-star vets, this team has a ton of offense. Tim Anderson might win back to back batting titles. I don’t want to sound like a southside fan, but let’s be honest, this team is likable. It’s going to be tough to win this series. They did recently clinch a playoff spot, but don’t confuse that with them “resting” starters. Reds pitching will have to be damn near flawless and the offense probably needs to give them 4 runs for a win. Prediction: Take 1 of 3 (Reds: 26-28)
We all know the Brewers. A team that has been solid the past few years lost some key players and Yelich is hitting .208. They aren’t what they thought they would be, but they won’t just fold. They will not give up on their postseason hopes until they are officially eliminated. The Reds are 4-3 vs the Brew Crew this year. An important 3 game series, the Reds could pick up ground here. We have seen how they have played the Brewers to a nearly .500 record this year, so I doubt a sweep happens. Prediction: Take 2 of 3. (Reds 28-29)
The Twins are right behind the White Sox. 1 and 2 in their division. However, I don’t find them as “scary” as the White Sox. Like the White Sox, the Twins are in the same division as the Indians, who Trevor Bauer pitched for before the Reds. Bauer will know some of these Batters and that alone could help him steal a win (assuming he pitches in the series.) The Reds will have their backs against the wall with their playoff hopes on the line. However, the Twins have a better lineup. Prediction: Take 1 of 3 (Reds 29-31).
*Keep in mind I do not have pitching matchups*
Will that be good enough to make the playoffs? Hard to tell. Many have said 30 wins gets you in. Maybe another team falls apart down the stretch. We are in the time of scoreboard watching. In that time of year where we stay up late to watch a west coast game and cheer hard for a Diamondbacks win (or some other “random” team). I love it. I love the intensity and game on the line feeling. Each win feels monumental.
Enjoy the ride.
Dugout Mugs Chat with Pete Rose September 15 at 9 PM
Join our friends from Dugout Mugs Tuesday night as they chat with Pete Rose
Our friends from Dugout Mugs are having a chat with Reds legend Pete Rose tomorrow night, September 15th, at 9:00 PM EST. They will be promoting their new line of mugs which feature the Hit King (and look good, too) as well as holding an “ask me anything” type segment where fans are encouraged to submit questions here.
Though embroiled in controversy off the field, Rose was one of the best to ever play on the field. I’m not sure we will ever see anyone approach 4256 career hits mostly because I’m not sure we will ever see a player put together a 24-year career with a 162-game average of 194 hits. It’s not just longevity but also the consistency with which Rose played for the length that he played.
Most Reds fans would agree he is one of the best to ever wear a Reds uniform and you will have a chance to drop Rose a question that they will talk about on the Dugout Mugs Facebook live event. Make sure to also tune in at 9:00 PM!