The Cincinnati Reds (56-75) will look to get the bad taste of the last road trip out of their mouth as they host the Milwaukee Brewers (73-59) for the last three times in 2018.
The Reds lost 6-of-7 on the road trip after sweeping the Giants at home. It was just a week ago that the Redlegs traveled to play the Brew Crew and lost two out of three. Milwaukee holds a 9-4 advantage in the season series.
Of anyone in the division, the Brewers have hit the best against the Reds (.275 average). Milwaukee has hit 19 homers against Cincinnati (more than any other opponent) and scored 59 runs (also more than any other opponent). The Brewers love Great American Ballpark as they have hit 12 home runs there, twice as many as any other park not named Miller.
The Reds and Brewers split the last series at Great American, each team winning two games as the calendar turned from June to July. David Hernandez and Matt Harvey won games three and four for Cincinnati while Amir Garrett and Sal Romano were saddled with losses in games one and two.
The Reds will see Junior Guerra (6-8, 3.73 ERA), Freddy Peralta (6-4, 4.02 ERA), and Wade Miley (2-2, 2.32 ERA). Cincinnati has seen all three this season, with varying success.
Guerra pitched for Milwaukee in Cincinnati’s last win, and a rather bizarre one, at that. He allowed seven runs, but only a pair of those were marked earned. His bats tried to keep up, but ultimately the Reds pulled off the road win. The Brewers are an even 12-and-12 in games started by Guerra.
Peralta carved up Reds hitters in his last outing against them. In his best start in almost two months, Peralta shut the Reds out in seven innings, striking out more hitters (seven) than base runners allowed (five). Milwaukee is 2-and-2 in games pitched by Peralta, in the month of August.
Wade Miley’s first start of the year came against the Reds, back in May. He held Cincinnati to one run in six innings with just three hits allowed and four strikeouts. On his fifth team of his career, Miley has not allowed more than three earned runs in any outing this year.
The Reds will counter with Anthony DeSclafani (6-4, 4.26 ERA), Matt Harvey (6-7, 4.77 ERA), and Luis Castillo (7-11, 507 ERA).
Disco’s last four starts have yielded a 2-1 record with a 1.95 ERA. He has 21 strikeouts in 27.2 innings pitched over that time. He’ll need to watch the long ball, though, as he has yielded 10 homers in nine starts at home, this year.
Harvey has settled into his Reds uniform as he was not dealt to the Brewers last Friday. Ironic, because he, most likely, would have started in this series against the Reds, had he been traded. In two starts against the Brew Crew, Harvey has a 3.38 ERA with a dozen strikeouts in 10.2 innings pitched. The Reds are 10-and-8 in games started by Harvey.
Castillo will round out the Reds hosting of the Brewers with a lunch special on Thursday. In 16 day-game starts, Castillo has a 5.16 ERA but has managed 80 K’s in 83.2 innings pitched. He likes pitching at home, though, as he holds a 3.69 ERA with a 1.104 walks-plus-hits-per-innings-pitched. Diggin a little deeper, Castillo has struggled when falling behind hitters. Opposing hitters have a .324 batting average and a .473 on-base percentage when they are ahead in the count against the Reds’ righty.
Including these three games, the Reds have just 15 home contests left in the year.
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