It should come as no surprise that the Reds will be sellers at the trade deadline this year. Even though the Reds are already out of contention, they still have some valuable assets that they can trade. If the front office is serious about winning soon(ish) they should also consider trading players from the minors for MLB ready talent as well.
The only players that should be untouchable are Joey Votto, Eugenio Suarez, and Hunter Greene (yes I know, I did not list Nick Senzel). Everyone else should be in play. Especially the following players.
Raisel Iglesias – Closer
I will view the 2018 season as a total disaster if Raisel Iglesias is still on this roster after the trade deadline. A closer is a luxury that the Reds do not need in a season where there aren’t many save situations. Teams in contention have proven over the past few seasons that they will pay a premium for solid bullpen arms, especially closers. Iglesias is the proud owner of a 1.31 ERA to go along with eight saves and has walked eight batters compared to twenty-five strikeouts.
He is under team control through the 2020 season and is set to make only $5 million for each of the next two seasons. Out of all the players on the Reds’ roster, Raisel can get net the biggest return. The Twins were rumored to be interested in acquiring him this past offseason and are currently 1.5 games back in a really bad AL Central.
I emailed Doug Gray, owner of RedsMinorLeagues.com, and asked what the Reds could expect back in a trade involving Iglesias and he had the following to say. “I think the haul would be enormous for Iglesias. His contract is incredibly cheap and he has multiple years left”.
Taking that into consideration, I would ask the Twins for their number two overall prospect RHP Fernando Romero. He has three starts under his belt this year and has so far posted a 2-0 record with a 0.54 ERA. His fastball sits anywhere between 94-96 MPH and he also can throw his slider and change-up for strikes consistently.
One knock against him has been durability. He missed most of 2014 and 2015 recovering from Tommy John surgery but it looks like he has put that behind him and hasn’t had any setbacks. I would also try and nab a position player from the Twins and have my sights set on OF Alex Kirilloff.
He is 20 years old and is currently hitting .305 at single A Cedar Rapids with a .946 OPS and is currently on a 14-game hit streak. He can also hit for power and has six home runs, four of which are opposite field shots.
Scooter Gennett – Second Base
The Reds should try and catch lightning in a bottle and flip Scooter before the trade deadline. The organization is flush with middle infield prospects ready to contribute at the major league level and this makes Scooter expendable. When I asked Doug Gray his thoughts on trading Scooter he had the following to say
“Gennett is a wild card. One, he’s got to keep hitting, but two, you need to find the right team. If the right team pops up, you could see a good piece coming back. But I think it is going to take the right situation, too”.
Shortly after asking Doug about trading Scooter, the right situation presented itself. Robinson Cano of the Mariners was suspended 80 games for using PEDs. He plays second base for a contending team, and when he comes back from suspension he will be ineligible for the post season should the Mariners make it that far. They seem like the perfect team to trade Scooter to.
I still don’t expect a huge return but after looking at the Mariners top 30 prospects I think the Reds could ask for their number sixteen prospect OF Ian Miller. He won the Ken Griffey Jr. Minor League Hitter of the Year award as the best hitter in the Mariners system and has the speed to hold his own in center field. He is currently hitting .311 in AAA Tacoma. Most importantly, I think he gives you a decent backup option if Billy Hamilton continues to struggle at the plate.
Minor League Depth
The Reds have spent the past four plus years acquiring depth at the minor league level, and have some interesting names that I think they could move for a well established big league player, much like they did in 2009 when they acquired Scott Rolen from the Blue Jays. At that time the team realized that they were close to contending and needed a veteran to fill in at third.
It worked out very well for the Reds as they made the playoffs two out of his three years here and Scott also made two All-Star appearances with the Reds. The Reds should start identifying other teams who are starting the rebuild process. Once team that comes to mind is the Kansas City Royals. They are currently sitting at 13-30 on the season and have a few veteran players they might look to unload at the trade deadline.
They also have a depleted minor league system that they need to rebuild. I would make a call and ask about outfielder Jorge Soler, who is off to a great start to the season and is under contract through 2020. I would also give the Tampa Bay Rays a call and try to work out a deal for starting pitcher Chris Archer.
He is a top of the line starter and is under contract through 2022. The Reds would have to pay a steep price considering how young and inexpensive he is. I would be willing to part with any prospect outside of Hunter Greene to land him. The Reds currently do not have anyone close to the major leagues that is a bona fide number one starter like Chris Archer and he would definitely help stabilize this young rotation.
Have Some Faith in The Rotation
The Cincinnati Reds are going to have eight bullpen arms on the everyday major league roster. Let’s make heads or tails of this.
For a large portion of the 2018 season the Cincinnati Reds carried eight relievers. While I absolutely hated it, I completely understood it. The Reds starting rotation was lucky to finish the sixth inning. Pitch counts often were creeping towards 100 pitches by the end of the fifth inning. The rotation itself, outside of Castillo and Harvey, seemed to be in constant flux due to injuries and poor performances.
On paper, the 2019 Cincinnnati Reds rotation appears to be about as middle of the road as you can get. Castillo, Sonny Gray, Tanner Roark, Disco, Alex Wood and now Tyler Mahle are all at least middle of the rotation guys . They will eat innings for your team if nothing else. I am expecting these guys to put up 6 innings nearly every appearance. Hopefully they will add plenty of quality starts, to boot. Why would you need eight relievers to back them up?
Madison Bumgarner said it best when referring to the idea of a bullpen opener, “If you’re using an opener in my game, I’m walking right out of the ballpark.” I think it’s an insult to starting pitchers for their goal to be complete 5 innings and hand the rest off to the bullpen. This leads me to believe there will be one bullpen pitcher that is extremely under utilized when he could be getting innings in the minors.
Meanwhile, the Reds are showing more roster depth on the bench than we have ever seen in the past 20 years. Rather than opting to have a fifth bench player, with a solid bat, you would rather use that position for an excessive amount of relievers. Matt Kemp, Scott Schebler, Jose Iglesias, Derek Dietrich, Phillip Ervin and Nick Senzel are all bats that could be getting significant playing time in the majors. All of which will have a significant impact on scoring runs and winning games for this team. It makes zero sense to me how you can justify using that roster spot for a player who will, maybe, pitch one or two innings a week at most. I think it also shows little faith in a rejuvenated rotation. While I don’t believe or expect this rotation to be as good as the 2012 Reds. I do expect them not to be warming up the bullpen in the fifth inning nearly every night.
Opening Day: Cincinnati’s Holiday
Opening Day for the Cincinnati Reds means so much more to this city than, pretty much, any other day.
No one does Opening Day like Cincinnati.
As an adult Opening Day is the only day I get to act like a kid again. No matter how good or bad the team is going to be, Opening Day in Cincinnati is always treated the same by the fan base. The one day of every year everyone who lives in the city has there minds on one thing…Cincinnati Reds baseball.
This year in particular is marked with serious celebration. The Cincinnati Reds are celebrating their 150th season since their beginnings in 1869 playing at the Union Ground close to Union Terminal. The annual holiday is also marked by the biggest yearly parade the town has to offer in the Findlay Markey Parade. The parade itself is celebrating it’s 100th anniversary this season. For a kid this is one of the coolest things you can witness as a Reds fan. All kinds of local high schools, kids baseball teams, local celebrities, local charities, veterans, former and even current Reds players participate.
Thanks to the lovely development of the riverbank area we are now able to take place in the most exciting party of the year. The Reds Opening Day Block Party at the Banks is THE event for Reds fan. Which, if you’re a baseball fan, is a guarenteed blast. Even better, the party raises a huge amount of money for the Reds Community Fund. There you can find all your local favorite foods (Skyline, LaRosa’s) lining the Banks with the cheapest alcohol you can find all season that close to the stadium. Live music and plenty of giveaways are passed out among the crowd. If mingling in the streets isn’t your fancy there are plenty of overly crowded restaurants where you can hang out. Most of them provide an exciting atmosphere during the game just like any other packed Reds game.
I personally have many experiences with Opening Day. In 1992, Opening Day also happened to fall upon my younger brother Adam’s arrival to planet Earth. When I arrived at the hospital I had zero interest in the newest addition to our family. I was more concerned about getting home in time to watch Opening Day and the NCAA Finals. At one of the mid 90’s Opening Days I was interviewed by the local news. The interview made me feel like a celebrity at the time. In 1996 I was a infuriated when after just a few pitches the game was cancelled because the umpire keeled over and never got back up. As an adult I feel terrible about that moment because he died from cardiac arrest. In the moment all I cared about was Opening Day.
I remember in 2000 being there to witness Ken Griffey Jr. for the first time in a Reds uniform. The Reds got what seemed to be a dream come true in the best player in the MLB at the time. Junior was the guy whose video game you owned, cleats you bought, and swing you emulated. We were going to be able to see him every night instead of just the highlights on Sportscenter. The team seemed to be on it’s way to becoming a powerhouse of the NL Central for years to come with his addition. The game itself was lackluster. It’s the only recorded tie 3-3 in the teams Opening Day history. Ultimately the hype exceeded reality with Junior’s tenure in Cincinnati. However, when he walked out on the field that day you would have thought the rebirth of the Big Red Machine took place.
I was present for Aaron Boone’s sac fly scoring Larkin in 2002, Joe Randa’s walk off homer in 2005, and Ramon Hernandez’s walk off in 2011. I have awkwardly ran into teachers and ex girlfriends during this holiday. However, my all time favorite Opening Day moment took place last year.
Opening Day 2018 I was interviewed by the local news. My brother was kind enough to take several still shots of my interview. Before I had even seen the footage he was kind enough to post a picture so amazing I want it shown at my funeral. Whenever they interview you on the news it usually will say your name and a short description about you. My description originally read Dave Pemberton: Reds Fan. My brother’s edited version said Dave Pemberton: Local Fat Kid. All of my close friends and family thought it was the funniest thing they’d ever seen. I loved it so much I used it as my fantasy football name. I guess this is payback for not wanting to hang out at the hospital with him when he was born on Opening Day all those years ago.
I hope all of Reds Country is able to participate and attend Opening Day at some point in their lives. Even those fair-weathered fans who have attended Opening Day will probably tell you it’s a must if you live in Cincinnati. For this Local Fat Kid it will always the best holiday of the year.
Losing Scooter Gennett for the chunk of time they are about to, puts the pressure on the Cincinnati Reds from the word go.
Scooter Gennett went down Friday afternoon with a groin injury. It was announced Saturday afternoon that he would be returning after 8-12 weeks. At best that puts him back in the middle of May and at worst middle of June.
Scooter is a vital part of this team. In his two years with the Cincinnati Reds, Scooter’s career has seen a revival. Gennett’s career in Cincinnati has totaled him a .303 AVG, .351 OBP, 50 HR, and tied a team best with Suarez for highest WAR in 2018 with 4.2. He was almost able to win a batting title last season on his way to an All-Star season. We must not also forget this guy wants to remain a Red after the 2019 season when his contract’s up. All the signs point toward Scooter putting up more amazing totals this year for the Reds. Missing Scooter for 2-3 months will have a significant impact on the teams win total.
On the surface there were three real options to replace Gennett till his return. This is in the order of how I expected the Reds to make this decision.
- Move Senzel to 2B for Opening Day. Get Senzel at least two months of playing time at the position he may very well start Opening Day in 2020. When Scooter returns move him back to CF.
- Derek Dietrich being left handed would be the second best option. Dietrich also has similar numbers to Iglesias at the plate.
- Jose Iglesias has played little at 2B but is a better glove than Dietrich. Move Pereza to 2B and Iglesias to SS as a temporary fix till Senzel is called up.
Dick Williams and David Bell announced today that the last option was what they are going to implement. As a part of that though they also announced Senzel will continue to play CF in Louisville and the Reds will roster Kyle Farmer on the bench to start the season. This move seems to go against the entire direction of moves the team has made this offseason. That direction being we are ready to win NOW.
This move to me says they are playing the baseball economics over winning now. On the surface this move can be justified as gaining one more year of contract control over Senzel. Schebler for what it’s worth put up stellar numbers in Spring Training. On paper he would be the better choice to start CF.
However as I said before Senzel’s time is NOW. If the Reds front office is serious about winning now there’s no reason Senzel doesn’t start in Scooter’s absence. Nick Senzel is ranked the number 6 top prospect in all of baseball. Many believe he could win batting titles in the future. Senzel has shown he’s willing to play anywhere to get himself on the roster. He’s put up a .314 AVG and .390 OBP during his minor league career. I personally think once he is given the opportunity he’s going to be the frontrunner for the Rookie of The Year. I’m a big fan of history. History shows when the Reds tried doing this last year it backfired horrendously when Senzel ended up needing season ending surgery. Why wouldn’t you want that guy on your team as soon as possible?
I truly hope this is just us getting worked up over nothing. Leading to Senzel seeing serious playing time in just two weeks as the starting 2B. While in between Iglesias, Dietrich, and Farmer are able to start out the season on fire. Otherwise the front office needs to be more up front with there plans on Nick Senzel. Finally I probably shouldn’t complain about this at all. None of these options are bad at all. After all none of the players mentioned as replacements were named Gosselin, Pennington, Kivlehan, Alcantara, Dixon, or Herrera.